A-League — Australia
Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 06:00 • AAMI Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.37 (league 1.58) 1.11 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.5% 26.9% 30.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
11.5%
0 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Newcastle Jets
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne City 0 8.4% 9.3% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.5% 12.7% 7.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.9% 8.7% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.6% 4.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMelbourne CityNewcastle Jets
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack23%92%
Defense62%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Melbourne City Newcastle Jets
HATHAT
Played66126511
Wins33%33%33%33%60%45%
Draws33%50%42%0%0%0%
Loses33%17%25%67%40%55%

Form: Melbourne City: DWDWLDWLDLDW • Newcastle Jets: LWLLLWLWWLW

League goals

Metric Melbourne City Newcastle Jets
HATHAT
GF total7512131023
GF avg1.20.81.02.22.02.1
GA total551014923
GA avg0.80.80.82.31.82.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMelbourne CityNewcastle Jets
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%42%82%91%
1.517%17%64%55%
2.58%17%36%36%
3.58%8%18%18%
4.50%0%9%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMelbourne CityNewcastle Jets
HATHAT
Clean sheets347101
Failed to score224112

Penalties

MetricMelbourne CityNewcastle Jets
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMelbourne CityNewcastle Jets
Wins12
Draws10
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-25-21-3
Biggest losses1-34-11-43-0
Goals For4253
Goals Against3453

Model comparison

MetricMelbourne CityNewcastle Jets
Form36%64%
Att20%80%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h71%29%
Goals80%20%
Total53.8%46.2%

Advice: Double chance : Melbourne City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ Betano
Draw4.50 @ Bet365
Away4.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Betano
Under 2.52.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ Unibet
No2.64 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Melbourne City = 1.37 (league 1.58), Newcastle Jets = 1.11 (league 1.44)

Newcastle Jets
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne City 0 8.4% 9.3% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.5% 12.7% 7.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.9% 8.7% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.6% 4.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.5% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 30.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1