A-League — Australia
Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 08:35 • AAMI Park
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.32 (league 1.58) 0.93 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.2% 37.7% 50.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
28.6%
0 - 1
26.7%
0 - 2
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Auckland
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne City 0 28.6% 26.7% 12.5% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.1% 8.5% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMelbourne CityAuckland
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack25%67%
Defense58%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Melbourne City Auckland
HATHAT
Played76136612
Wins29%33%31%50%67%58%
Draws29%50%38%17%33%25%
Loses43%17%31%33%0%17%

Form: Melbourne City: DWDWLDWLDLDWL • Auckland: DWWWDLWWWLDW

League goals

Metric Melbourne City Auckland
HATHAT
GF total75129918
GF avg1.00.80.91.51.51.5
GA total65118311
GA avg0.90.80.81.30.50.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMelbourne CityAuckland
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%46%92%67%
1.515%15%50%17%
2.58%15%8%8%
3.58%8%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMelbourne CityAuckland
HATHAT
Clean sheets347134
Failed to score325011

Penalties

MetricMelbourne CityAuckland
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMelbourne CityAuckland
Wins13
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-23-10-2
Biggest losses1-34-11-3—
Goals For4232
Goals Against3431

Model comparison

MetricMelbourne CityAuckland
Form33%67%
Att27%73%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h20%80%
Goals29%71%
Total31.0%69.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Auckland and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.57 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away3.00 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.82 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.07 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Melbourne City = 0.32 (league 1.58), Auckland = 0.93 (league 1.44)

Auckland
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne City 0 28.6% 26.7% 12.5% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.1% 8.5% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.2% · Draw 37.7% · Away win 50.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1