A-League — Australia
Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 10:45 • HBF Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 1.58) 0.62 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.3% 42.1% 30.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
30.3%
0 - 1
18.9%
1 - 0
17.3%
Score & goals probability table
Brisbane Roar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Perth Glory 0 30.3% 18.9% 5.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.3% 10.8% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.9% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPerth GloryBrisbane Roar
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack57%21%
Defense57%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Perth Glory Brisbane Roar
HATHAT
Played75126713
Wins29%60%42%50%29%38%
Draws14%0%8%17%29%23%
Loses57%40%50%33%43%38%

Form: Perth Glory: DLLLWWWLLWLW • Brisbane Roar: WLDWDWWDLWLLL

League goals

Metric Perth Glory Brisbane Roar
HATHAT
GF total69155611
GF avg0.91.81.30.80.90.8
GA total79165712
GA avg1.01.81.30.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePerth GloryBrisbane Roar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%75%62%54%
1.550%33%15%31%
2.517%17%8%8%
3.50%8%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPerth GloryBrisbane Roar
HATHAT
Clean sheets213426
Failed to score415325

Penalties

MetricPerth GloryBrisbane Roar
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricPerth GloryBrisbane Roar
Wins32
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-01-2
Biggest losses0-24-00-32-1
Goals For3332
Goals Against2432

Model comparison

MetricPerth GloryBrisbane Roar
Form67%33%
Att73%27%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h60%40%
Goals53%47%
Total60.2%39.8%

Advice: Double chance : Perth Glory or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.06 @ 1xBet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away4.02 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No2.02 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.09 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.83 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Perth Glory = 0.57 (league 1.58), Brisbane Roar = 0.62 (league 1.45)

Brisbane Roar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Perth Glory 0 30.3% 18.9% 5.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.3% 10.8% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.9% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.3% · Draw 42.1% · Away win 30.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1