A-League — Australia
Sun, Jan 18 2026 • 03:00 • polytec Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.56) 1.35 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.7% 27.5% 44.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.9%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Macarthur
0 1 2 3 4 5
Central Coast Mariners 0 9.6% 12.9% 8.7% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
1 9.6% 12.9% 8.7% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 4.8% 6.4% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.6% 2.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCentral Coast MarinersMacarthur
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack54%62%
Defense23%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Central Coast Mariners Macarthur
HATHAT
Played66127613
Wins17%33%25%29%50%38%
Draws33%0%17%43%17%31%
Loses50%67%58%29%33%31%

Form: Central Coast Mariners: WLDWLDLLLLWL • Macarthur: LWDLWLDWDWWDL

League goals

Metric Central Coast Mariners Macarthur
HATHAT
GF total78156814
GF avg1.21.31.30.91.31.1
GA total911209817
GA avg1.51.81.71.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCentral Coast MarinersMacarthur
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%62%77%
1.525%67%23%31%
2.517%25%8%15%
3.58%0%8%8%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCentral Coast MarinersMacarthur
HATHAT
Clean sheets123123
Failed to score123325

Penalties

MetricCentral Coast MarinersMacarthur
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricCentral Coast MarinersMacarthur
Wins12
Draws11
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-42-14-5
Biggest losses1-23-00-32-0
Goals For3425
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricCentral Coast MarinersMacarthur
Form27%73%
Att47%53%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h62%38%
Goals59%41%
Total47.3%52.7%

Advice: Double chance : Central Coast Mariners or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.53 @ 1xBet
Draw3.58 @ Pinnacle
Away2.17 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.97 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Bet365
No2.16 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Central Coast Mariners = 1.00 (league 1.56), Macarthur = 1.35 (league 1.45)

Macarthur
0 1 2 3 4 5
Central Coast Mariners 0 9.6% 12.9% 8.7% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
1 9.6% 12.9% 8.7% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 4.8% 6.4% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.6% 2.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.7% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 44.5%

vtt 3 , vtd1