A-League — Australia
Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 08:35 • Coopers Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.71 (league 1.58) 0.83 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.5% 23.7% 17.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.5%
2 - 0
11.5%
1 - 1
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Melbourne Victory
0 1 2 3 4 5
Adelaide United 0 7.9% 6.5% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.5% 11.2% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.5% 9.6% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.6% 5.5% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.8% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAdelaide UnitedMelbourne Victory
Played55
Form47%80%
Attack58%92%
Defense17%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Adelaide United Melbourne Victory
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins67%17%42%50%33%42%
Draws0%17%8%17%17%17%
Loses33%67%50%33%50%42%

Form: Adelaide United: WLLWWLLLWWLD • Melbourne Victory: DLWLLLDWWWWL

League goals

Metric Adelaide United Melbourne Victory
HATHAT
GF total1171810515
GF avg1.81.21.51.70.81.3
GA total910197916
GA avg1.51.71.61.21.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAdelaide UnitedMelbourne Victory
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%50%67%
1.542%58%42%33%
2.517%8%17%17%
3.58%8%8%8%
4.50%0%8%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAdelaide UnitedMelbourne Victory
HATHAT
Clean sheets112134
Failed to score202336

Penalties

MetricAdelaide UnitedMelbourne Victory
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAdelaide UnitedMelbourne Victory
Wins24
Draws01
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-15-10-2
Biggest losses0-42-10-25-2
Goals For4252
Goals Against4225

Model comparison

MetricAdelaide UnitedMelbourne Victory
Form37%63%
Att39%61%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h20%80%
Goals40%60%
Total39.3%60.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Melbourne Victory

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.98 @ 1xBet
Draw3.80 @ 188Bet
Away2.34 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.63 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.63 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Adelaide United = 1.71 (league 1.58), Melbourne Victory = 0.83 (league 1.44)

Melbourne Victory
0 1 2 3 4 5
Adelaide United 0 7.9% 6.5% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.5% 11.2% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.5% 9.6% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.6% 5.5% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.8% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.5% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 17.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1