A-League — Australia
Fri, Jan 23 2026 • 08:35 • McDonald Jones Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.57 (league 1.54) 2.72 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.1% 17.7% 38.0%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.2%
2 - 3
5.6%
3 - 2
5.3%
Score & goals probability table
Wellington Phoenix
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newcastle Jets 0 0.5% 1.4% 1.9% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6%
1 1.3% 3.5% 4.8% 4.4% 3.0% 1.6%
2 1.7% 4.5% 6.2% 5.6% 3.8% 2.1%
3 1.4% 3.9% 5.3% 4.8% 3.2% 1.8%
4 0.9% 2.5% 3.4% 3.1% 2.1% 1.1%
5 0.5% 1.3% 1.7% 1.6% 1.1% 0.6%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewcastle JetsWellington Phoenix
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack92%85%
Defense46%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newcastle Jets Wellington Phoenix
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%71%54%43%33%38%
Draws0%0%0%14%33%23%
Loses67%29%46%43%33%38%

Form: Newcastle Jets: LWLLLWLWWLWWW • Wellington Phoenix: DWDLLWLLWLWDW

League goals

Metric Newcastle Jets Wellington Phoenix
HATHAT
GF total131326111021
GF avg2.21.92.01.61.71.6
GA total141024111122
GA avg2.31.41.81.61.81.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewcastle JetsWellington Phoenix
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%85%92%85%
1.562%46%54%46%
2.531%31%15%23%
3.515%15%0%8%
4.58%8%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewcastle JetsWellington Phoenix
HATHAT
Clean sheets112022
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricNewcastle JetsWellington Phoenix
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricNewcastle JetsWellington Phoenix
Wins21
Draws01
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-21-33-10-3
Biggest losses1-43-01-35-1
Goals For5333
Goals Against5335

Model comparison

MetricNewcastle JetsWellington Phoenix
Form55%45%
Att52%48%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h50%50%
Goals54%46%
Total52.3%47.7%

Advice: No predictions available

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ Betano
Draw4.75 @ Bet365
Away4.40 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.35 @ Betano
Under 2.53.40 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.40 @ Bet365
No3.08 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newcastle Jets = 2.57 (league 1.54), Wellington Phoenix = 2.72 (league 1.44)

Wellington Phoenix
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newcastle Jets 0 0.5% 1.4% 1.9% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6%
1 1.3% 3.5% 4.8% 4.4% 3.0% 1.6%
2 1.7% 4.5% 6.2% 5.6% 3.8% 2.1%
3 1.4% 3.9% 5.3% 4.8% 3.2% 1.8%
4 0.9% 2.5% 3.4% 3.1% 2.1% 1.1%
5 0.5% 1.3% 1.7% 1.6% 1.1% 0.6%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.1% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 38.0%

vtt 4 , vtd1