A-League — Australia
Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 06:00 • Suncorp Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.58) 0.66 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.7% 36.1% 26.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
21.7%
1 - 0
18.7%
0 - 1
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Adelaide United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brisbane Roar 0 21.7% 14.4% 4.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.7% 12.4% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.1% 5.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBrisbane RoarAdelaide United
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack31%62%
Defense38%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Brisbane Roar Adelaide United
HATHAT
Played68147613
Wins50%38%43%71%17%46%
Draws17%25%21%0%17%8%
Loses33%38%36%29%67%46%

Form: Brisbane Roar: WLDWDWWDLWLLLW • Adelaide United: WLLWWLLLWWLDW

League goals

Metric Brisbane Roar Adelaide United
HATHAT
GF total581313720
GF avg0.81.00.91.91.21.5
GA total5813101020
GA avg0.81.00.91.41.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBrisbane RoarAdelaide United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%57%85%85%
1.521%29%46%54%
2.57%7%15%8%
3.50%0%8%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBrisbane RoarAdelaide United
HATHAT
Clean sheets426112
Failed to score325202

Penalties

MetricBrisbane RoarAdelaide United
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricBrisbane RoarAdelaide United
Wins22
Draws11
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-24-10-1
Biggest losses0-32-10-42-1
Goals For3242
Goals Against3242

Model comparison

MetricBrisbane RoarAdelaide United
Form38%63%
Att33%67%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total47.0%53.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Adelaide United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.26 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away3.45 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.07 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.23 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Brisbane Roar = 0.86 (league 1.58), Adelaide United = 0.66 (league 1.45)

Adelaide United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brisbane Roar 0 21.7% 14.4% 4.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.7% 12.4% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.1% 5.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.7% · Draw 36.1% · Away win 26.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1