A-League — Australia
Mon, Jan 26 2026 • 06:40 • AAMI Park
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.58) 1.16 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.3% 29.5% 40.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.8%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Sydney
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne Victory 0 11.8% 13.8% 8.0% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.5% 13.4% 7.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.6% 6.5% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.8% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMelbourne VictorySydney
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack77%31%
Defense54%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Melbourne Victory Sydney
HATHAT
Played67134812
Wins50%29%38%75%50%58%
Draws17%14%15%0%13%8%
Loses33%57%46%25%38%33%

Form: Melbourne Victory: DLWLLLDWWWWLL • Sydney: LWWWWLWWLDWL

League goals

Metric Melbourne Victory Sydney
HATHAT
GF total1061671118
GF avg1.70.91.21.81.41.5
GA total71118279
GA avg1.21.61.40.50.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMelbourne VictorySydney
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%69%67%50%
1.538%38%50%25%
2.515%15%25%0%
3.58%8%8%0%
4.58%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMelbourne VictorySydney
HATHAT
Clean sheets134336
Failed to score336134

Penalties

MetricMelbourne VictorySydney
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMelbourne VictorySydney
Wins44
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-23-01-4
Biggest losses0-25-20-22-0
Goals For5234
Goals Against2522

Model comparison

MetricMelbourne VictorySydney
Form56%44%
Att71%29%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h50%50%
Goals46%54%
Total51.7%48.3%

Advice: Double chance : Melbourne Victory or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.28 @ Dafabet
Draw3.80 @ 188Bet
Away3.18 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.25 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.50 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Melbourne Victory = 0.97 (league 1.58), Sydney = 1.16 (league 1.45)

Sydney
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne Victory 0 11.8% 13.8% 8.0% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.5% 13.4% 7.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.6% 6.5% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.8% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.3% · Draw 29.5% · Away win 40.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1