A-League — Australia
Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 06:00 • polytec Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.55) 0.88 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.4% 30.3% 28.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.1%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Melbourne Victory
0 1 2 3 4 5
Central Coast Mariners 0 13.3% 11.7% 5.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.1% 13.3% 5.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.6% 7.6% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.3% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCentral Coast MarinersMelbourne Victory
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack42%68%
Defense58%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.613 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Central Coast Mariners Melbourne Victory
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins14%29%21%57%29%43%
Draws43%14%29%14%14%14%
Loses43%57%50%29%57%43%

Form: Central Coast Mariners: WLDWLDLLLLWLDD • Melbourne Victory: DLWLLLDWWWWLLW

League goals

Metric Central Coast Mariners Melbourne Victory
HATHAT
GF total8101814620
GF avg1.11.41.32.00.91.4
GA total10132371118
GA avg1.41.91.61.01.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCentral Coast MarinersMelbourne Victory
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%79%57%64%
1.529%64%43%36%
2.514%21%21%14%
3.57%0%14%7%
4.50%0%7%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCentral Coast MarinersMelbourne Victory
HATHAT
Clean sheets123235
Failed to score123336

Penalties

MetricCentral Coast MarinersMelbourne Victory
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricCentral Coast MarinersMelbourne Victory
Wins14
Draws11
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-45-10-2
Biggest losses1-23-00-25-2
Goals For3452
Goals Against2325

Model comparison

MetricCentral Coast MarinersMelbourne Victory
Form36%64%
Att38%62%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total47.3%52.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Melbourne Victory

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.40 @ Betano
Draw4.41 @ Pinnacle
Away1.63 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.38 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Bet365
No2.26 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Central Coast Mariners = 1.14 (league 1.55), Melbourne Victory = 0.88 (league 1.43)

Melbourne Victory
0 1 2 3 4 5
Central Coast Mariners 0 13.3% 11.7% 5.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.1% 13.3% 5.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.6% 7.6% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.3% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.4% · Draw 30.3% · Away win 28.1%

vtt 4 , vtd1