A-League — Australia
Tue, Apr 7 2026 • 09:00 • AAMI Park
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.55) 1.21 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.6% 26.5% 33.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
1 - 0
10.4%
0 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Central Coast Mariners
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne City 0 7.7% 9.4% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.4% 12.6% 7.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.0% 8.5% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
3 3.1% 3.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMelbourne CityCentral Coast Mariners
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack25%50%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Melbourne City Central Coast Mariners
HATHAT
Played91221111021
Wins33%25%29%27%40%33%
Draws22%50%38%45%10%29%
Loses44%25%33%27%50%38%

Form: Melbourne City: DWDWLDWLDLDWLWLDDLLWD • Central Coast Mariners: WLDWLDLLLLWLDDWWWDWDL

League goals

Metric Melbourne City Central Coast Mariners
HATHAT
GF total101222131629
GF avg1.11.01.01.21.61.4
GA total101828131932
GA avg1.11.51.31.21.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMelbourne CityCentral Coast Mariners
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%62%81%76%
1.524%29%33%52%
2.55%24%19%19%
3.55%10%5%5%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMelbourne CityCentral Coast Mariners
HATHAT
Clean sheets358325
Failed to score336224

Penalties

MetricMelbourne CityCentral Coast Mariners
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricMelbourne CityCentral Coast Mariners
Wins13
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-23-20-4
Biggest losses1-36-21-24-1
Goals For4234
Goals Against3624

Model comparison

MetricMelbourne CityCentral Coast Mariners
Form38%62%
Att33%67%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total42.5%57.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Central Coast Mariners

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ 1xBet
Draw4.40 @ BetVictor
Away7.75 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.14 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ 10Bet
No1.97 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Melbourne City = 1.35 (league 1.55), Central Coast Mariners = 1.21 (league 1.45)

Central Coast Mariners
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne City 0 7.7% 9.4% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.4% 12.6% 7.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.0% 8.5% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
3 3.1% 3.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.6% · Draw 26.5% · Away win 33.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1