Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 06:00 •
polytec Stadium
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.61)
1.93 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.7% | 22.0% | 54.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.2%
1 - 2
9.9%
0 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Newcastle Jets | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | 0 | 4.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Central Coast Mariners | Newcastle Jets |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 100% |
| Attack | 60% | 100% |
| Defense | 60% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 15 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
92%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Central Coast Mariners | Newcastle Jets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 33% | 38% | 35% | 56% | 78% | 67% |
| Draws | 33% | 13% | 24% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 33% | 50% | 41% | 44% | 22% | 33% |
Central Coast MarinersWLDWLDLLLLWLDDWWW
Newcastle JetsLWLLLWLWWLWWWWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Central Coast Mariners | Newcastle Jets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 12 | 24 | 22 | 19 | 41 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 12 | 14 | 26 | 16 | 13 | 29 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Central Coast Mariners | Newcastle Jets | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 76% | 89% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 59% | 67% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 18% | 44% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 22% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Central Coast Mariners | Newcastle Jets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Central Coast Mariners | Newcastle Jets |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Central Coast Mariners | Newcastle Jets |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 0-4 | 5-2 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Central Coast Mariners | Newcastle Jets |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 37% | 63% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 46.3% | 53.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.50 @ Bet365
Draw4.70 @ 188Bet
Away1.72 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.36 @ Betano
Under 2.53.50 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.39 @ 188Bet
No3.13 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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