A-League — Australia
Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 02:00 • Sky Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.55) 1.61 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.4% 24.7% 47.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
0 - 1
10.1%
1 - 2
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Sydney
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wellington Phoenix 0 6.3% 10.1% 8.1% 4.4% 1.8% 0.6%
1 7.3% 11.7% 9.4% 5.1% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.2% 6.8% 5.5% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.6% 2.6% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWellington PhoenixSydney
Played55
Form13%47%
Attack64%64%
Defense0%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)16 | 3.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Wellington Phoenix Sydney
HATHAT
Played1081881018
Wins30%25%28%63%40%50%
Draws20%38%28%13%10%11%
Loses50%38%44%25%50%39%

Form: Wellington Phoenix: DWDLLWLLWLWDWLDLDL • Sydney: LWWWWLWWLDWLLWLLDW

League goals

Metric Wellington Phoenix Sydney
HATHAT
GF total151328141125
GF avg1.51.61.61.81.11.4
GA total21173861218
GA avg2.12.12.10.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWellington PhoenixSydney
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%89%67%61%
1.556%61%39%28%
2.511%33%22%6%
3.50%17%11%6%
4.50%11%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWellington PhoenixSydney
HATHAT
Clean sheets022437
Failed to score202156

Penalties

MetricWellington PhoenixSydney
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricWellington PhoenixSydney
Wins14
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-34-11-4
Biggest losses0-55-10-24-0
Goals For3344
Goals Against5524

Model comparison

MetricWellington PhoenixSydney
Form22%78%
Att50%50%
Def24%76%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h62%38%
Goals55%45%
Total42.3%57.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sydney

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.64 @ 1xBet
Draw4.04 @ Pinnacle
Away2.02 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Betano
Under 2.52.63 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ Pinnacle
No2.64 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Wellington Phoenix = 1.16 (league 1.55), Sydney = 1.61 (league 1.43)

Sydney
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wellington Phoenix 0 6.3% 10.1% 8.1% 4.4% 1.8% 0.6%
1 7.3% 11.7% 9.4% 5.1% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.2% 6.8% 5.5% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.6% 2.6% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.4% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 47.2%

vtt 4 , vtd1