A-League — Australia
Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 08:35 • Coopers Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.70 (league 1.56) 1.56 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.0% 17.5% 20.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.0%
3 - 1
7.2%
2 - 2
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
Wellington Phoenix
0 1 2 3 4 5
Adelaide United 0 1.4% 2.2% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 3.8% 5.9% 4.6% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
2 5.1% 8.0% 6.3% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.6% 7.2% 5.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
4 3.1% 4.9% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
5 1.7% 2.6% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAdelaide UnitedWellington Phoenix
Played55
Form53%13%
Attack91%55%
Defense45%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.213 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Adelaide United Wellington Phoenix
HATHAT
Played1091911819
Wins60%33%47%27%25%26%
Draws10%22%16%18%38%26%
Loses30%44%37%55%38%47%

Form: Adelaide United: WLLWWLLLWWLDWWDLWWD • Wellington Phoenix: DWDLLWLLWLWDWLDLDLL

League goals

Metric Adelaide United Wellington Phoenix
HATHAT
GF total201333151328
GF avg2.01.41.71.41.61.5
GA total141428221739
GA avg1.41.61.52.02.12.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAdelaide UnitedWellington Phoenix
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%84%84%89%
1.553%47%53%58%
2.521%11%11%32%
3.511%5%0%16%
4.50%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAdelaide UnitedWellington Phoenix
HATHAT
Clean sheets213022
Failed to score202303

Penalties

MetricAdelaide UnitedWellington Phoenix
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricAdelaide UnitedWellington Phoenix
Wins21
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-33-10-3
Biggest losses0-42-10-55-1
Goals For4333
Goals Against4255

Model comparison

MetricAdelaide UnitedWellington Phoenix
Form80%20%
Att63%38%
Def68%32%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total62.3%37.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Adelaide United or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ Betano
Draw4.55 @ Betano
Away4.46 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.45 @ Betano
Under 2.52.93 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.85 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Adelaide United = 2.70 (league 1.56), Wellington Phoenix = 1.56 (league 1.43)

Wellington Phoenix
0 1 2 3 4 5
Adelaide United 0 1.4% 2.2% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 3.8% 5.9% 4.6% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
2 5.1% 8.0% 6.3% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.6% 7.2% 5.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
4 3.1% 4.9% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
5 1.7% 2.6% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.0% · Draw 17.5% · Away win 20.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1