A-League — Australia
Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 08:00 • Campbelltown Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.55) 1.77 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.1% 22.6% 40.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.7%
1 - 2
8.5%
2 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Central Coast Mariners
0 1 2 3 4 5
Macarthur 0 3.4% 5.9% 5.3% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
1 5.5% 9.7% 8.5% 5.0% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.4% 7.9% 6.9% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 2.4% 4.3% 3.8% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.0% 1.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMacarthurCentral Coast Mariners
Played55
Form33%73%
Attack90%80%
Defense0%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Macarthur Central Coast Mariners
HATHAT
Played1091910818
Wins30%33%32%30%38%33%
Draws40%33%37%40%13%28%
Loses30%33%32%30%50%39%

Form: Macarthur: LWDLWLDWDWWDLDWDDLL • Central Coast Mariners: WLDWLDLLLLWLDDWWWD

League goals

Metric Macarthur Central Coast Mariners
HATHAT
GF total141024121224
GF avg1.41.11.31.21.51.3
GA total171128121426
GA avg1.71.21.51.21.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMacarthurCentral Coast Mariners
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%84%78%72%
1.526%37%33%56%
2.511%16%17%17%
3.511%11%6%0%
4.511%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMacarthurCentral Coast Mariners
HATHAT
Clean sheets123325
Failed to score437224

Penalties

MetricMacarthurCentral Coast Mariners
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricMacarthurCentral Coast Mariners
Wins23
Draws22
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-24-53-20-4
Biggest losses0-42-01-23-0
Goals For6534
Goals Against4423

Model comparison

MetricMacarthurCentral Coast Mariners
Form31%69%
Att53%47%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h25%75%
Goals38%63%
Total37.7%62.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Central Coast Mariners

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ Bet365
Draw4.65 @ Betano
Away5.40 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Betano
Under 2.52.58 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Betano
No2.44 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Macarthur = 1.63 (league 1.55), Central Coast Mariners = 1.77 (league 1.44)

Central Coast Mariners
0 1 2 3 4 5
Macarthur 0 3.4% 5.9% 5.3% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
1 5.5% 9.7% 8.5% 5.0% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.4% 7.9% 6.9% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 2.4% 4.3% 3.8% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.0% 1.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.1% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 40.7%

vtt 7 , vtd1