A-League — Australia
Tue, Jan 6 2026 • 08:00 • AAMI Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.58) 0.69 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.3% 37.4% 29.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.4%
1 - 0
17.8%
0 - 1
16.2%
Score & goals probability table
Brisbane Roar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne City 0 23.4% 16.2% 5.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.8% 12.3% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.8% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMelbourne CityBrisbane Roar
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack21%29%
Defense64%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Melbourne City Brisbane Roar
HATHAT
Played56115611
Wins20%33%27%60%33%45%
Draws40%50%45%20%33%27%
Loses40%17%27%20%33%27%

Form: Melbourne City: DWDWLDWLDLD • Brisbane Roar: WLDWDWWDLWL

League goals

Metric Melbourne City Brisbane Roar
HATHAT
GF total65115611
GF avg1.20.81.01.01.01.0
GA total5510369
GA avg1.00.80.90.61.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMelbourne CityBrisbane Roar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%45%73%45%
1.518%18%18%27%
2.59%18%9%9%
3.59%9%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMelbourne CityBrisbane Roar
HATHAT
Clean sheets246426
Failed to score224213

Penalties

MetricMelbourne CityBrisbane Roar
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricMelbourne CityBrisbane Roar
Wins12
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-23-01-2
Biggest losses1-34-10-32-1
Goals For4232
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricMelbourne CityBrisbane Roar
Form42%58%
Att43%57%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h71%29%
Goals53%47%
Total52.7%47.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Melbourne City or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ Betano
Draw3.65 @ Betano
Away4.60 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.88 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.95 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Melbourne City = 0.76 (league 1.58), Brisbane Roar = 0.69 (league 1.44)

Brisbane Roar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne City 0 23.4% 16.2% 5.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.8% 12.3% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.8% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.3% · Draw 37.4% · Away win 29.2%

vtt 11 , vtd1