A-League — Australia
Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 04:00 • polytec Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.55) 1.16 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.9% 27.7% 34.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
1 - 0
11.3%
0 - 1
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Adelaide United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Central Coast Mariners 0 9.1% 10.5% 6.1% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
1 11.3% 13.1% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.0% 8.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.9% 3.3% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCentral Coast MarinersAdelaide United
Played55
Form87%53%
Attack53%59%
Defense76%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Central Coast Mariners Adelaide United
HATHAT
Played1091911920
Wins30%44%37%55%33%45%
Draws40%11%26%18%22%20%
Loses30%44%37%27%44%35%

Form: Central Coast Mariners: WLDWLDLLLLWLDDWWWDW • Adelaide United: WLLWWLLLWWLDWWDLWWDD

League goals

Metric Central Coast Mariners Adelaide United
HATHAT
GF total121527211334
GF avg1.21.71.41.91.41.7
GA total121527151429
GA avg1.21.71.41.41.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCentral Coast MarinersAdelaide United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%74%90%85%
1.537%53%50%45%
2.521%16%20%10%
3.55%0%10%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCentral Coast MarinersAdelaide United
HATHAT
Clean sheets325213
Failed to score224202

Penalties

MetricCentral Coast MarinersAdelaide United
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricCentral Coast MarinersAdelaide United
Wins32
Draws21
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-44-02-3
Biggest losses1-23-00-42-1
Goals For3443
Goals Against2342

Model comparison

MetricCentral Coast MarinersAdelaide United
Form62%38%
Att47%53%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h71%29%
Goals69%31%
Total59.7%40.3%

Advice: Double chance : Central Coast Mariners or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.17 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away2.22 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.48 @ Pinnacle
No2.77 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.53 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Central Coast Mariners = 1.24 (league 1.55), Adelaide United = 1.16 (league 1.45)

Adelaide United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Central Coast Mariners 0 9.1% 10.5% 6.1% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
1 11.3% 13.1% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.0% 8.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.9% 3.3% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.9% · Draw 27.7% · Away win 34.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1