A-League — Australia
Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 08:00 • Sydney Football Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.55) 0.62 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.9% 19.8% 10.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.7%
2 - 0
14.5%
3 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Melbourne City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sydney 0 7.5% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.7% 9.2% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.5% 9.0% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.6% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.7% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSydneyMelbourne City
Played55
Form53%13%
Attack38%38%
Defense69%6%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 115 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sydney Melbourne City
HATHAT
Played9112091019
Wins56%45%50%33%20%26%
Draws22%9%15%22%50%37%
Loses22%45%35%44%30%37%

Form: Sydney: LWWWWLWWLDWLLWLLDWWD • Melbourne City: DWDWLDWLDLDWLWLDDLL

League goals

Metric Sydney Melbourne City
HATHAT
GF total161228101020
GF avg1.81.11.41.11.01.1
GA total81220101727
GA avg0.91.11.01.11.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSydneyMelbourne City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%60%68%63%
1.540%30%26%32%
2.520%5%5%26%
3.510%5%5%11%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSydneyMelbourne City
HATHAT
Clean sheets448347
Failed to score156336

Penalties

MetricSydneyMelbourne City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSydneyMelbourne City
Wins41
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-44-00-2
Biggest losses0-24-01-36-2
Goals For4442
Goals Against2436

Model comparison

MetricSydneyMelbourne City
Form80%20%
Att50%50%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h15%85%
Goals27%73%
Total53.7%46.3%

Advice: Double chance : Sydney or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.38 @ 1xBet
Draw3.75 @ Pinnacle
Away2.95 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.72 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.20 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ 10Bet
No2.42 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sydney = 1.97 (league 1.55), Melbourne City = 0.62 (league 1.45)

Melbourne City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sydney 0 7.5% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.7% 9.2% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.5% 9.0% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.6% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.7% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.9% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 10.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1