A-League — Australia
Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 08:00 • HBF Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.55) 0.90 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.7% 32.2% 32.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
15.5%
1 - 0
15.0%
0 - 1
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Melbourne City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Perth Glory 0 15.5% 13.9% 6.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.0% 13.4% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.2% 6.5% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPerth GloryMelbourne City
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack20%25%
Defense40%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Perth Glory Melbourne City
HATHAT
Played10112191120
Wins30%27%29%33%27%30%
Draws10%27%19%22%45%35%
Loses60%45%52%44%27%35%

Form: Perth Glory: DLLLWWWLLWLWLLWDLLDDL • Melbourne City: DWDWLDWLDLDWLWLDDLLW

League goals

Metric Perth Glory Melbourne City
HATHAT
GF total101424101121
GF avg1.01.31.11.11.01.1
GA total132134101727
GA avg1.31.91.61.11.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePerth GloryMelbourne City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%86%70%60%
1.543%48%25%30%
2.510%19%5%25%
3.50%10%5%10%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPerth GloryMelbourne City
HATHAT
Clean sheets213358
Failed to score448336

Penalties

MetricPerth GloryMelbourne City
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricPerth GloryMelbourne City
Wins31
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-34-00-2
Biggest losses1-34-01-36-2
Goals For3342
Goals Against3436

Model comparison

MetricPerth GloryMelbourne City
Form29%71%
Att44%56%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h40%60%
Goals35%65%
Total40.5%59.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Melbourne City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.07 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ 10Bet
Away1.96 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Betfair
No2.14 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Perth Glory = 0.97 (league 1.55), Melbourne City = 0.90 (league 1.45)

Melbourne City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Perth Glory 0 15.5% 13.9% 6.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.0% 13.4% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.2% 6.5% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.7% · Draw 32.2% · Away win 32.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1