Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 •
Nyayo National Stadium
Expected Goals
7.57 (league 1.19)
1.27 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
best score tips
5 - 1
3.8%
5 - 0
3.0%
4 - 1
2.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Mogadishu City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Police | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Police | Mogadishu City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Attack | 18% | 6% |
| Defense | 94% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
57%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Police | Mogadishu City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Wins | — | 100% | 100% | 0% | — | 0% |
| Draws | — | 0% | 0% | 0% | — | 0% |
| Loses | — | 0% | 0% | 100% | — | 100% |
Form: Police: W • Mogadishu City: L
League goals
| Metric | Police | Mogadishu City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Police | Mogadishu City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| 2.5 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Police | Mogadishu City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Police | Mogadishu City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Police | Mogadishu City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-3 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-3 | — |
| Goals For | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Police | Mogadishu City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 75.0% | 25.0% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Police and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Police = 7.57 (league 1.19), Mogadishu City = 1.27 (league 0.79)
| Mogadishu City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Police | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.6% · Draw 1.1% · Away win 0.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1