Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 06:30 • PEACE STADIUM Connected by SoftBank
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.14 (league 1.89) 2.01 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.9% 16.1% 21.6%
best score tips
3 - 2
6.0%
3 - 1
6.0%
2 - 2
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
Canada W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Japan W 0 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
1 1.8% 3.7% 3.7% 2.5% 1.2% 0.5%
2 2.9% 5.7% 5.8% 3.9% 1.9% 0.8%
3 3.0% 6.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8%
4 2.4% 4.7% 4.7% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6%
5 1.5% 3.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJapan WCanada W
Played55
Form7%40%
Attack31%54%
Defense15%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Japan W Canada W
HATHAT
Played2578311
Wins50%0%14%75%0%55%
Draws50%20%29%13%0%9%
Loses0%80%57%13%100%36%

Form: Japan W: DWLLLDL • Canada W: DWWWLWWWLLL

League goals

Metric Japan W Canada W
HATHAT
GF total741124024
GF avg3.50.81.63.00.02.2
GA total211135510
GA avg1.02.21.90.61.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJapan WCanada W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%100%64%73%
1.514%57%55%9%
2.514%29%45%9%
3.514%0%27%0%
4.514%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJapan WCanada W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000303
Failed to score011134

Penalties

MetricJapan WCanada W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricJapan WCanada W
Wins13
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-1—7-0—
Biggest losses—3-10-13-0
Goals For6170
Goals Against1313

Model comparison

MetricJapan WCanada W
Form14%86%
Att36%64%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h80%20%
Goals80%20%
Total49.8%50.2%

Advice: Double chance : Japan W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.93 @ Betano
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away3.90 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.86 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ 188Bet
No1.96 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Japan W = 3.14 (league 1.89), Canada W = 2.01 (league 1.09)

Canada W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Japan W 0 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
1 1.8% 3.7% 3.7% 2.5% 1.2% 0.5%
2 2.9% 5.7% 5.8% 3.9% 1.9% 0.8%
3 3.0% 6.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8%
4 2.4% 4.7% 4.7% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6%
5 1.5% 3.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.9% · Draw 16.1% · Away win 21.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1