Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 17:30 • Wembley Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.91 (league 1.89) 0.32 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.1% 3.9% 0.9%
best score tips
3 - 0
14.5%
4 - 0
14.2%
2 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
China W
0 1 2 3 4 5
England W 0 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.2% 3.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.5% 4.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14.2% 4.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 11.1% 3.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEngland WChina W
Played35
Form67%60%
Attack69%88%
Defense88%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 3.714 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.76 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric England W China W
HATHAT
Played303426
Wins67%—67%75%0%50%
Draws0%—0%0%50%17%
Loses33%—33%25%50%33%

Form: England W: WLW • China W: DWLWWL

League goals

Metric England W China W
HATHAT
GF total1101114115
GF avg3.70.03.73.50.52.5
GA total202347
GA avg0.70.00.70.82.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEngland WChina W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%33%67%67%
1.567%33%50%33%
2.567%0%50%17%
3.533%0%50%0%
4.533%0%33%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEngland WChina W
HATHAT
Clean sheets202202
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricEngland WChina W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricEngland WChina W
Wins12
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-0—5-0—
Biggest losses1-2—0-23-0
Goals For7051
Goals Against2023

Model comparison

MetricEngland WChina W
Form40%60%
Att44%56%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution94%6%
H2h100%0%
Goals86%14%
Total67.8%32.2%

Advice: Combo Winner : England W and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.16 @ Unibet
Draw8.50 @ Bet365
Away19.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.45 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.76 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.55 @ Betfair
No1.64 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): England W = 3.91 (league 1.89), China W = 0.32 (league 1.09)

China W
0 1 2 3 4 5
England W 0 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.2% 3.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.5% 4.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14.2% 4.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 11.1% 3.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.1% · Draw 3.9% · Away win 0.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1