Tue, Dec 2 2025 • 00:00 • Chase Stadium
Match Finished
2 - 0
Expected Goals
4.91 (league 1.89) 0.14 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.9% 1.2% 0.1%
best score tips
4 - 0
15.6%
5 - 0
15.3%
3 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Italy W
0 1 2 3 4 5
USA W 0 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.7% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 15.6% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 15.3% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUSA WItaly W
Played53
Form80%11%
Attack100%7%
Defense79%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)16 | 3.21 | 0.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric USA W Italy W
HATHAT
Played11011213
Wins82%—82%0%0%0%
Draws0%—0%50%0%33%
Loses18%—18%50%100%67%

Form: USA W: WLWWWWWLWWW • Italy W: DLL

League goals

Metric USA W Italy W
HATHAT
GF total34034101
GF avg3.10.03.10.50.00.3
GA total505235
GA avg0.50.00.51.03.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUSA WItaly W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%27%33%100%
1.582%18%0%33%
2.573%0%0%33%
3.536%0%0%0%
4.59%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUSA WItaly W
HATHAT
Clean sheets808000
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricUSA WItaly W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricUSA WItaly W
Wins50
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-0———
Biggest losses1-2—0-13-0
Goals For6010
Goals Against2013

Model comparison

MetricUSA WItaly W
Form92%8%
Att94%6%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total83.0%17.3%

Advice: Winner : USA W

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.32 @ Unibet
Draw5.55 @ Pinnacle
Away11.20 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.61 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.30 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.73 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): USA W = 4.91 (league 1.89), Italy W = 0.14 (league 1.09)

Italy W
0 1 2 3 4 5
USA W 0 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.7% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 15.6% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 15.3% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.9% · Draw 1.2% · Away win 0.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1