Tue, Dec 2 2025 • 05:00 • Transcosmos Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.47 (league 1.90) 1.27 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.7% 11.7% 9.6%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.7%
4 - 1
6.7%
2 - 1
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Canada W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Japan W 0 0.9% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 3.0% 3.8% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 5.3% 6.7% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.1% 7.7% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 5.3% 6.7% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
5 3.7% 4.7% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJapan WCanada W
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack29%19%
Defense62%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Japan W Canada W
HATHAT
Played3588412
Wins67%0%25%75%0%50%
Draws33%20%25%13%0%8%
Loses0%80%50%13%100%42%

Form: Japan W: DWLLLDLW • Canada W: DWWWLWWWLLLL

League goals

Metric Japan W Canada W
HATHAT
GF total1041424024
GF avg3.30.81.83.00.02.0
GA total211135813
GA avg0.72.21.60.62.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJapan WCanada W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%88%58%75%
1.525%50%50%17%
2.525%25%42%17%
3.513%0%25%0%
4.513%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJapan WCanada W
HATHAT
Clean sheets101303
Failed to score011145

Penalties

MetricJapan WCanada W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricJapan WCanada W
Wins13
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-1—7-0—
Biggest losses—3-10-13-0
Goals For6170
Goals Against1313

Model comparison

MetricJapan WCanada W
Form57%43%
Att60%40%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h88%13%
Goals88%13%
Total69.2%31.2%

Advice: Winner : Japan W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.55 @ Unibet
Draw4.18 @ Pinnacle
Away5.75 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ SBO
Under 2.52.08 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ 188Bet
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Japan W = 3.47 (league 1.90), Canada W = 1.27 (league 1.10)

Canada W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Japan W 0 0.9% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 3.0% 3.8% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 5.3% 6.7% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.1% 7.7% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 5.3% 6.7% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
5 3.7% 4.7% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.7% · Draw 11.7% · Away win 9.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1