Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 16:00 • Stade de la SONABEL
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
0.80 (league 0.90) 0.58 (league 0.82)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.3% 38.2% 24.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.1%
1 - 0
20.0%
0 - 1
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
USFA
0 1 2 3 4 5
SONABEL 0 25.1% 14.7% 4.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.0% 11.7% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.0% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSONABELUSFA
Played55
Form40%73%
Attack40%100%
Defense0%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

48%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SONABEL USFA
HATHAT
Played9112011920
Wins33%27%30%55%44%50%
Draws56%27%40%36%22%30%
Loses11%45%30%9%33%20%

Form: SONABEL: DLDWLWDLDLDLWWWDLWDD • USFA: LWDWLDLWWDWWLDWDDWWW

League goals

Metric SONABEL USFA
HATHAT
GF total8715131124
GF avg0.90.60.81.21.21.2
GA total413175712
GA avg0.41.20.90.50.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSONABELUSFA
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%55%70%40%
1.525%20%30%20%
2.50%5%10%0%
3.50%5%10%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSONABELUSFA
HATHAT
Clean sheets6397512
Failed to score3710246

Penalties

MetricSONABELUSFA
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSONABELUSFA
Wins32
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-22-00-4
Biggest losses1-24-00-12-0
Goals For2224
Goals Against2422

Model comparison

MetricSONABELUSFA
Form35%65%
Att17%83%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total40.2%59.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or USFA and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SONABEL = 0.80 (league 0.90), USFA = 0.58 (league 0.82)

USFA
0 1 2 3 4 5
SONABEL 0 25.1% 14.7% 4.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.0% 11.7% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.0% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.3% · Draw 38.2% · Away win 24.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1