Ligue 1
— Burkina-Faso
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 16:00 •
Stade Banfora
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 0.91)
0.40 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.7% | 26.7% | 10.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
22.9%
2 - 0
16.4%
0 - 0
16.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Etoile Filante | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sporting Cascades | 0 | 16.1% | 6.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.9% | 9.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.4% | 6.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Sporting Cascades carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 101 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Sporting Cascades +21.7, Etoile Filante +9.9.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Sporting Cascades
vs
Etoile Filante
Elo gapSporting Cascades +101
Home / draw / away52% / 19% / 29%
Expected home share64%
Combined Elo2967
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2967
Elo home share
64%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Sporting Cascades | Etoile Filante |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1516.4 | 1450.6 |
| Form Elo | 1525.6 | 1465 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1507.2 | 1474.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1416.6 | 1391.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1632 | 1507.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +21.7 | +9.9 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Sporting Cascades last-5 Elo change: +21.7; Etoile Filante last-5 Elo change: +9.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sporting Cascades | Etoile Filante |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Attack | 67% | 67% |
| Defense | 67% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
47%
FT probability
2.5+
33%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
51%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sporting Cascades | Etoile Filante | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 46% | 21% | 33% | 21% | 23% | 22% |
| Draws | 38% | 50% | 44% | 43% | 31% | 37% |
| Loses | 15% | 29% | 22% | 36% | 46% | 41% |
Sporting CascadesDWDDWDWLWDWDLLLDWWDDLDDWWLD
Etoile FilanteDDDDLDLWLDLLLLLDWDDLWWDLWWL
League goals
| Metric | Sporting Cascades | Etoile Filante | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 8 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 5 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 17 | 29 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sporting Cascades | Etoile Filante | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 41% | 52% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 7% | 19% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sporting Cascades | Etoile Filante | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 8 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sporting Cascades | Etoile Filante |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sporting Cascades | Etoile Filante |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sporting Cascades | Etoile Filante |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 47.5% | 52.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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