Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 18:30 • Estádio Governador João Castelo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
8.14 (league 1.47) 0.75 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.4% 0.4% 0.1%
best score tips
5 - 0
4.1%
5 - 1
3.1%
4 - 0
2.5%
Score & goals probability table
Americano Bacabal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sao Luis 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSao LuisAmericano Bacabal
Played22
Form67%50%
Attack41%18%
Defense94%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 3.53 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.53 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sao Luis Americano Bacabal
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins100%0%50%100%0%50%
Draws0%100%50%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%100%50%

Form: Sao Luis: WD • Americano Bacabal: LW

League goals

Metric Sao Luis Americano Bacabal
HATHAT
GF total617303
GF avg6.01.03.53.00.01.5
GA total011123
GA avg0.01.00.51.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSao LuisAmericano Bacabal
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%50%100%
1.550%0%50%50%
2.550%0%50%0%
3.550%0%0%0%
4.550%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSao LuisAmericano Bacabal
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricSao LuisAmericano Bacabal
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSao LuisAmericano Bacabal
Wins10
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-0—3-1—
Biggest losses———2-0
Goals For6130
Goals Against0112

Model comparison

MetricSao LuisAmericano Bacabal
Form57%43%
Att70%30%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h100%0%
Goals60%40%
Total65.5%34.5%

Advice: Combo Winner : Sao Luis and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.33 @ Bet365
Draw5.80 @ 1xBet
Away15.50 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.35 @ 1xBet
Under 2.53.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 1xBet
No1.84 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sao Luis = 8.14 (league 1.47), Americano Bacabal = 0.75 (league 1.00)

Americano Bacabal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sao Luis 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.4% · Draw 0.4% · Away win 0.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1