Wed, Oct 1 2025 • 18:30 •
Estádio Municipal Marcos Pinheiro Neto
Expected Goals
2.04 (league 1.47)
3.00 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.6% | 16.8% | 49.6% |
best score tips
2 - 2
6.1%
2 - 3
6.1%
1 - 2
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
| São José MA | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lago Verde | 0 | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 1.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | |
| 2 | 1.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lago Verde | São José MA |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 78% | 11% |
| Attack | 40% | 13% |
| Defense | 73% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 4 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
87%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lago Verde | São José MA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 100% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 67% |
Form: Lago Verde: DWW • São José MA: DLL
League goals
| Metric | Lago Verde | São José MA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GA avg | 3.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lago Verde | São José MA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 67% | 67% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | 0% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lago Verde | São José MA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lago Verde | São José MA |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lago Verde | São José MA |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lago Verde | São José MA |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 88% | 13% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 64.0% | 36.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Lago Verde or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lago Verde = 2.04 (league 1.47), São José MA = 3.00 (league 1.00)
| São José MA | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lago Verde | 0 | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 1.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | |
| 2 | 1.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.6% · Draw 16.8% · Away win 49.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1