Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 14:30 • Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.60 (league 1.05) 0.42 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.1% 23.9% 9.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.2%
2 - 0
16.9%
0 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Uruguay Montevideo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Maldonado 0 13.3% 5.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.2% 8.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.9% 7.1% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.0% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportivo MaldonadoUruguay Montevideo
Played55
Form20%20%
Attack38%25%
Defense25%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Montevideo
HATHAT
Played121426131326
Wins42%36%38%31%15%23%
Draws25%36%31%8%15%12%
Loses33%29%31%62%69%65%

Form: Deportivo Maldonado: WWLDWDDLDDWDLWWDDWWLWWLLLL • Uruguay Montevideo: LLWWWLWLWLLDDLLDLLLLLLLWLL

League goals

Metric Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Montevideo
HATHAT
GF total14142813720
GF avg1.21.01.11.00.50.8
GA total101222251843
GA avg0.80.90.81.91.41.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportivo MaldonadoUruguay Montevideo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%58%54%88%
1.531%15%15%38%
2.512%8%8%23%
3.54%4%0%12%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportivo MaldonadoUruguay Montevideo
HATHAT
Clean sheets6511213
Failed to score55104812

Penalties

MetricDeportivo MaldonadoUruguay Montevideo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricDeportivo MaldonadoUruguay Montevideo
Wins23
Draws22
Losses17

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-11-3
Biggest losses0-23-00-45-1
Goals For4333
Goals Against4345

Model comparison

MetricDeportivo MaldonadoUruguay Montevideo
Form50%50%
Att60%40%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h100%0%
Goals75%25%
Total64.8%35.4%

Advice: Double chance : Deportivo Maldonado or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ 10Bet
Draw3.06 @ Pinnacle
Away3.73 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.50 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ Unibet
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportivo Maldonado = 1.60 (league 1.05), Uruguay Montevideo = 0.42 (league 0.95)

Uruguay Montevideo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Maldonado 0 13.3% 5.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.2% 8.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.9% 7.1% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.0% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.1% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 9.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1