Mon, Sep 22 2025 • 17:00 • Parque Palermo
Match Finished
2 - 2
Expected Goals
0.53 (league 1.05) 1.50 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.0% 25.8% 60.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.6%
0 - 2
14.8%
0 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Fenix
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cerrito 0 13.1% 19.6% 14.8% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8%
1 7.0% 10.5% 7.8% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4%
2 1.9% 2.8% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCerritoFenix
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack18%45%
Defense55%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cerrito Fenix
HATHAT
Played121426131326
Wins33%14%23%31%54%42%
Draws8%36%23%23%15%19%
Loses58%50%54%46%31%38%

Form: Cerrito: LLLLLWLDLWLLWLWDDLLDWWDLLD • Fenix: LLLLWWDWLWLDWWDDDWLWLLWWWL

League goals

Metric Cerrito Fenix
HATHAT
GF total91423131427
GF avg0.81.00.91.01.11.0
GA total16244017926
GA avg1.31.71.51.30.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCerritoFenix
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%69%62%62%
1.519%54%35%31%
2.50%23%8%8%
3.50%4%0%0%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCerritoFenix
HATHAT
Clean sheets4483710
Failed to score3585510

Penalties

MetricCerritoFenix
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricCerritoFenix
Wins23
Draws23
Losses54

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-22-01-3
Biggest losses0-35-20-32-0
Goals For1233
Goals Against3532

Model comparison

MetricCerritoFenix
Form36%64%
Att29%71%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution24%76%
H2h20%80%
Goals37%63%
Total32.7%67.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Fenix and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.94 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.23 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.57 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.28 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cerrito = 0.53 (league 1.05), Fenix = 1.50 (league 0.95)

Fenix
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cerrito 0 13.1% 19.6% 14.8% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8%
1 7.0% 10.5% 7.8% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4%
2 1.9% 2.8% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.0% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 60.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1