Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.09) 0.68 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.0% 32.2% 22.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.6%
0 - 0
17.0%
1 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Penarol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cerro Largo 0 17.0% 11.6% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.6% 12.6% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.1% 6.9% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.7% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCerro LargoPenarol
Played55
Form47%87%
Attack30%100%
Defense70%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cerro Largo Penarol
HATHAT
Played358538
Wins67%60%63%100%33%75%
Draws0%20%13%0%33%13%
Loses33%20%25%0%33%13%

Form: Cerro Largo: WWWDLWWL • Penarol: WWLWWWDW

League goals

Metric Cerro Largo Penarol
HATHAT
GF total2689716
GF avg0.71.21.01.82.32.0
GA total134156
GA avg0.30.60.50.21.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCerro LargoPenarol
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%100%50%
1.525%0%63%25%
2.50%0%25%0%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCerro LargoPenarol
HATHAT
Clean sheets224404
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricCerro LargoPenarol
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricCerro LargoPenarol
Wins33
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-23-01-4
Biggest losses0-11-0—2-1
Goals For1234
Goals Against1112

Model comparison

MetricCerro LargoPenarol
Form35%65%
Att23%77%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total43.8%56.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Penarol and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.16 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away1.60 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.31 @ Pinnacle
No1.65 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cerro Largo = 1.09 (league 1.09), Penarol = 0.68 (league 1.02)

Penarol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cerro Largo 0 17.0% 11.6% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.6% 12.6% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.1% 6.9% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.7% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.0% · Draw 32.2% · Away win 22.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1