Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 00:00 •
Parque Palermo
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.19)
0.23 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 78.2% | 16.7% | 3.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
21.8%
2 - 0
21.5%
3 - 0
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Defensor Sporting | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Miramar | 0 | 11.1% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.8% | 5.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.5% | 5.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.1% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Miramar | Defensor Sporting |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 60% |
| Attack | 82% | 36% |
| Defense | 36% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Miramar | Defensor Sporting | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 33% | 40% | 38% | 100% | 25% | 63% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 33% | 60% | 50% | 0% | 75% | 38% |
Form: Miramar: WLLDWLWL • Defensor Sporting: LWWWLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Miramar | Defensor Sporting | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 9 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 2 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Miramar | Defensor Sporting | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 88% | 63% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 38% | 13% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 38% | 13% | 0% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Miramar | Defensor Sporting | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Miramar | Defensor Sporting |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Miramar | Defensor Sporting |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-2 | — | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Miramar | Defensor Sporting |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 90% | 10% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 11% | 89% |
| Total | 42.8% | 57.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Defensor Sporting
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Miramar = 1.97 (league 1.19), Defensor Sporting = 0.23 (league 0.91)
| Defensor Sporting | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Miramar | 0 | 11.1% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.8% | 5.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.5% | 5.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.1% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.2% · Draw 16.7% · Away win 3.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1