Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 19:00 •
Estadio Municipal Parque Artigas
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.10)
1.67 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.3% | 24.3% | 53.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
12.2%
1 - 1
11.5%
0 - 2
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Club Nacional | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Juventud | 0 | 7.3% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Juventud | Club Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 87% |
| Attack | 18% | 100% |
| Defense | 73% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Juventud | Club Nacional | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Wins | 50% | 25% | 38% | 80% | 67% | 75% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 13% |
| Loses | 50% | 75% | 63% | 0% | 33% | 13% |
Form: Juventud: LLWWWLLL • Club Nacional: WLWDWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Juventud | Club Nacional | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 5 | 19 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 2.4 |
| GA total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Juventud | Club Nacional | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 75% | 75% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 13% | 25% | 75% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 63% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Juventud | Club Nacional | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Juventud | Club Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Juventud | Club Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-1 | — | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Juventud | Club Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 32% | 68% |
| Att | 15% | 85% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 21% | 79% |
| Total | 26.2% | 73.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Club Nacional
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Juventud = 0.95 (league 1.10), Club Nacional = 1.67 (league 1.02)
| Club Nacional | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Juventud | 0 | 7.3% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.3% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 53.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1