FAI Cup — Ireland
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 17:00 • Tallaght Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.70 (league 2.30) 0.93 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.6% 24.0% 20.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.3%
1 - 1
11.4%
2 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Kerry
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shamrock Rovers 0 7.2% 6.7% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.3% 11.4% 5.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.7% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.9% 5.5% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.5% 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShamrock RoversKerry
Played33
Form78%100%
Attack37%42%
Defense89%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 2.38 | 2.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.74 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shamrock Rovers Kerry
HATHAT
Played213303
Wins100%0%67%100%—100%
Draws0%100%33%0%—0%
Loses0%0%0%0%—0%

Form: Shamrock Rovers: WWD • Kerry: WWW

League goals

Metric Shamrock Rovers Kerry
HATHAT
GF total617808
GF avg3.01.02.32.70.02.7
GA total112404
GA avg0.51.00.71.30.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShamrock RoversKerry
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%100%67%
1.567%0%100%33%
2.533%0%33%33%
3.533%0%33%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShamrock RoversKerry
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricShamrock RoversKerry
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricShamrock RoversKerry
Wins23
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-0—2-0—
Biggest losses————
Goals For4140
Goals Against1130

Model comparison

MetricShamrock RoversKerry
Form44%56%
Att47%53%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total52.7%47.3%

Advice: Double chance : Shamrock Rovers or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.14 @ William Hill
Draw9.50 @ Betfair
Away23.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.05 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.35 @ Pinnacle
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shamrock Rovers = 1.70 (league 2.30), Kerry = 0.93 (league 1.45)

Kerry
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shamrock Rovers 0 7.2% 6.7% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.3% 11.4% 5.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.7% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.9% 5.5% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.5% 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.6% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 20.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1