Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 17:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.06 (league 2.02)
2.23 (league 1.81)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.1% | 19.8% | 40.6% |
best score tips
2 - 2
7.2%
1 - 2
7.0%
2 - 1
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Derry City W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Crusaders W | 0 | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 2.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Crusaders W | Derry City W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Attack | 71% | 36% |
| Defense | 0% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 16 | 3.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
83%
FT probability
3.5+
59%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Crusaders W | Derry City W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 7 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| Wins | 50% | 43% | 47% | 33% | 29% | 31% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 57% | 53% | 67% | 71% | 69% |
Form: Crusaders W: WLWWLLLWLLLWLWW • Derry City W: LLWWLLLWLLLLWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Crusaders W | Derry City W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 14 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 25 | 14 | 39 | 20 | 18 | 38 |
| GA avg | 3.1 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 2.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Crusaders W | Derry City W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 87% | 69% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 73% | 31% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 33% | 13% | 56% |
| 3.5 | 27% | 20% | 6% | 38% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 20% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Crusaders W | Derry City W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Crusaders W | Derry City W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Crusaders W | Derry City W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-5 | 3-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-8 | 5-0 | 0-4 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 8 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Crusaders W | Derry City W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 46.2% | 53.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Derry City W and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Crusaders W = 2.06 (league 2.02), Derry City W = 2.23 (league 1.81)
| Derry City W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Crusaders W | 0 | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 2.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.1% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 40.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1