FA Cup — England
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • Lye Meadow
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.77) 4.09 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.1% 1.9% 75.0%
best score tips
0 - 4
18.6%
0 - 3
18.1%
0 - 5
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
Chelmsford City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alvechurch 0 1.6% 6.5% 13.3% 18.1% 18.6% 15.2%
1 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 0.8%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlvechurchChelmsford City
Played21
Form100%100%
Attack64%55%
Defense82%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 3.56 | 6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 10 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

9.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alvechurch Chelmsford City
HATHAT
Played202101
Wins100%—100%100%—100%
Draws0%—0%0%—0%
Loses0%—0%0%—0%

Form: Alvechurch: WW • Chelmsford City: W

League goals

Metric Alvechurch Chelmsford City
HATHAT
GF total707606
GF avg3.50.03.56.00.06.0
GA total202000
GA avg1.00.01.00.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlvechurchChelmsford City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%0%
1.5100%50%100%0%
2.5100%0%100%0%
3.550%0%100%0%
4.50%0%100%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlvechurchChelmsford City
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricAlvechurchChelmsford City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAlvechurchChelmsford City
Wins21
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—6-0—
Biggest losses————
Goals For4060
Goals Against2000

Model comparison

MetricAlvechurchChelmsford City
Form67%33%
Att54%46%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total60.5%39.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Alvechurch or draw and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.90 @ 1xBet
Draw3.78 @ Marathonbet
Away1.80 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.61 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.30 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Marathonbet
No2.23 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alvechurch = 0.05 (league 1.77), Chelmsford City = 4.09 (league 1.47)

Chelmsford City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alvechurch 0 1.6% 6.5% 13.3% 18.1% 18.6% 15.2%
1 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 0.8%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.1% · Draw 1.9% · Away win 75.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1