FA Cup — England
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • Mill Farm Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.27 (league 1.76) 2.06 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.3% 19.7% 34.4%
best score tips
2 - 2
7.2%
2 - 1
7.0%
1 - 2
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
Darlington 1883
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Fylde 0 1.3% 2.7% 2.8% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
1 3.0% 6.1% 6.3% 4.3% 2.2% 0.9%
2 3.4% 7.0% 7.2% 4.9% 2.6% 1.1%
3 2.6% 5.3% 5.5% 3.8% 1.9% 0.8%
4 1.5% 3.0% 3.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5%
5 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAFC FyldeDarlington 1883
Played11
Form100%100%
Attack36%27%
Defense91%91%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 43 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 11 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

7.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

64%
FT probability

BTTS

98%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AFC Fylde Darlington 1883
HATHAT
Played101011
Wins100%—100%—100%100%
Draws0%—0%—0%0%
Loses0%—0%—0%0%

Form: AFC Fylde: W • Darlington 1883: W

League goals

Metric AFC Fylde Darlington 1883
HATHAT
GF total404033
GF avg4.00.04.00.03.03.0
GA total101011
GA avg1.00.01.00.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAFC FyldeDarlington 1883
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%0%100%0%
2.5100%0%100%0%
3.5100%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAFC FyldeDarlington 1883
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricAFC FyldeDarlington 1883
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAFC FyldeDarlington 1883
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1——1-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For4003
Goals Against1001

Model comparison

MetricAFC FyldeDarlington 1883
Form50%50%
Att57%43%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h60%40%
Goals56%44%
Total54.2%45.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : AFC Fylde or draw and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ Bet365
Draw3.85 @ Marathonbet
Away4.26 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.15 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ Marathonbet
No2.12 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AFC Fylde = 2.27 (league 1.76), Darlington 1883 = 2.06 (league 1.45)

Darlington 1883
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Fylde 0 1.3% 2.7% 2.8% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
1 3.0% 6.1% 6.3% 4.3% 2.2% 0.9%
2 3.4% 7.0% 7.2% 4.9% 2.6% 1.1%
3 2.6% 5.3% 5.5% 3.8% 1.9% 0.8%
4 1.5% 3.0% 3.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5%
5 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.3% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 34.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1