Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 20:30 •
Estadio de La Independencia
Expected Goals
1.89 (league 1.27)
0.42 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 71.7% | 19.6% | 7.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
18.7%
2 - 0
17.7%
3 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Real Santander | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Patriotas | 0 | 9.9% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.7% | 7.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.7% | 7.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.1% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Patriotas | Real Santander |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Attack | 43% | 57% |
| Defense | 79% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Patriotas | Real Santander | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 18 | 35 | 13 | 14 | 27 |
| Wins | 65% | 44% | 54% | 54% | 14% | 33% |
| Draws | 24% | 17% | 20% | 23% | 14% | 19% |
| Loses | 12% | 39% | 26% | 23% | 71% | 48% |
Form: Patriotas: WDWWDWWWLWWDWLLWLDWLWWDLLWLWDWLDWWW • Real Santander: WWLLLLWWWDLDLLLDLWLWLWDDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Patriotas | Real Santander | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 17 | 42 | 22 | 9 | 31 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 10 | 18 | 28 | 12 | 22 | 34 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Patriotas | Real Santander | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 60% | 63% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 14% | 33% | 41% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 6% | 11% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Patriotas | Real Santander | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 6 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Patriotas | Real Santander |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 83.33% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 16.67% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Patriotas | Real Santander |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-3 | 4-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Patriotas | Real Santander |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 80% | 20% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 59.5% | 40.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Patriotas or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Patriotas = 1.89 (league 1.27), Real Santander = 0.42 (league 0.85)
| Real Santander | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Patriotas | 0 | 9.9% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.7% | 7.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.7% | 7.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.1% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.7% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 7.5%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1