Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 14:00 • Stadion Shinnik
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.40 (league 1.21) 1.36 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.7% 27.9% 61.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
23.5%
0 - 0
17.2%
0 - 2
16.0%
Score & goals probability table
Rotor Volgograd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shinnik Yaroslavl 0 17.2% 23.5% 16.0% 7.2% 2.5% 0.7%
1 6.8% 9.3% 6.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
2 1.4% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShinnik YaroslavlRotor Volgograd
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack25%92%
Defense100%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 02 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shinnik Yaroslavl Rotor Volgograd
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins40%17%27%67%40%55%
Draws20%67%45%17%40%27%
Loses40%17%27%17%20%18%

Form: Shinnik Yaroslavl: LDLLWDWDWDD • Rotor Volgograd: WLDWDWLWWWD

League goals

Metric Shinnik Yaroslavl Rotor Volgograd
HATHAT
GF total4379918
GF avg0.80.50.61.51.81.6
GA total437235
GA avg0.80.50.60.30.60.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShinnik YaroslavlRotor Volgograd
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.545%55%73%36%
1.518%9%36%9%
2.50%0%27%0%
3.50%0%9%0%
4.50%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShinnik YaroslavlRotor Volgograd
HATHAT
Clean sheets235527
Failed to score246123

Penalties

MetricShinnik YaroslavlRotor Volgograd
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricShinnik YaroslavlRotor Volgograd
Wins13
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-23-00-6
Biggest losses0-21-01-21-0
Goals For2236
Goals Against2121

Model comparison

MetricShinnik YaroslavlRotor Volgograd
Form47%53%
Att21%79%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h25%75%
Goals38%63%
Total30.8%69.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Rotor Volgograd and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.62 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.88 @ 188Bet
Away2.61 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.18 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.40 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.47 @ 188Bet
No1.60 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shinnik Yaroslavl = 0.40 (league 1.21), Rotor Volgograd = 1.36 (league 1.06)

Rotor Volgograd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shinnik Yaroslavl 0 17.2% 23.5% 16.0% 7.2% 2.5% 0.7%
1 6.8% 9.3% 6.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
2 1.4% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.7% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 61.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1