First League — Russia
Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 15:00 • Stadion Fakel
Match Finished
0 - 0
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.23) 0.46 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.9% 27.6% 12.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.0%
0 - 0
15.9%
2 - 0
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
Chayka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fakel 0 15.9% 7.2% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.0% 10.0% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.2% 6.9% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.0% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFakelChayka
Played55
Form33%0%
Attack27%27%
Defense45%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.219 | 3.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fakel Chayka
HATHAT
Played47115611
Wins100%43%64%0%17%9%
Draws0%29%18%20%33%27%
Loses0%29%18%80%50%64%

Form: Fakel: WWWWWWLDWLD • Chayka: WDDDLLLLLLL

League goals

Metric Fakel Chayka
HATHAT
GF total4610459
GF avg1.00.90.90.80.80.8
GA total077161026
GA avg0.01.00.63.21.72.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFakelChayka
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%45%55%82%
1.59%18%18%55%
2.50%0%9%45%
3.50%0%0%36%
4.50%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFakelChayka
HATHAT
Clean sheets426022
Failed to score022235

Penalties

MetricFakelChayka
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFakelChayka
Wins61
Draws13
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-2—0-3
Biggest losses—2-00-64-0
Goals For1223
Goals Against0264

Model comparison

MetricFakelChayka
Form100%0%
Att50%50%
Def76%24%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total51.8%48.3%

Advice: Double chance : Fakel or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.27 @ 1xBet
Draw5.67 @ Pinnacle
Away14.25 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.93 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.80 @ 188Bet
No1.48 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fakel = 1.38 (league 1.23), Chayka = 0.46 (league 1.05)

Chayka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fakel 0 15.9% 7.2% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.0% 10.0% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.2% 6.9% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.0% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.9% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 12.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1