First League — Russia
Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 15:30 • Arena Khimki
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.95 (league 1.22) 0.30 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.9% 17.7% 4.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.5%
2 - 0
20.0%
3 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
FK Sokol Saratov
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rodina Moskva 0 10.6% 3.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.5% 6.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.0% 6.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.0% 3.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.3% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRodina MoskvaFK Sokol Saratov
Played55
Form80%27%
Attack100%67%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rodina Moskva FK Sokol Saratov
HATHAT
Played65116511
Wins50%20%36%17%0%9%
Draws33%40%36%67%20%45%
Loses17%40%27%17%80%45%

Form: Rodina Moskva: DLLDDDWWWWL • FK Sokol Saratov: DDLDDLLLLDW

League goals

Metric Rodina Moskva FK Sokol Saratov
HATHAT
GF total10717325
GF avg1.71.41.50.50.40.5
GA total58134711
GA avg0.81.61.20.71.41.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRodina MoskvaFK Sokol Saratov
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%64%45%64%
1.536%27%0%27%
2.518%18%0%9%
3.59%9%0%0%
4.59%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRodina MoskvaFK Sokol Saratov
HATHAT
Clean sheets314314
Failed to score022336

Penalties

MetricRodina MoskvaFK Sokol Saratov
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricRodina MoskvaFK Sokol Saratov
Wins40
Draws32
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-51-0—
Biggest losses1-34-00-23-1
Goals For3511
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricRodina MoskvaFK Sokol Saratov
Form75%25%
Att86%14%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h71%29%
Goals75%25%
Total73.8%26.2%

Advice: Winner : Rodina Moskva

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.56 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.90 @ 1xBet
Away6.76 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.64 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.36 @ Pinnacle
No1.59 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rodina Moskva = 1.95 (league 1.22), FK Sokol Saratov = 0.30 (league 1.06)

FK Sokol Saratov
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rodina Moskva 0 10.6% 3.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.5% 6.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.0% 6.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.0% 3.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.3% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.9% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 4.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1