First League — Russia
Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 16:00 • Stadion Central'nyj
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.22) 2.29 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.6% 19.9% 51.0%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.7%
1 - 1
7.6%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
KAMAZ
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chernomorets 0 2.1% 4.8% 5.5% 4.2% 2.4% 1.1%
1 3.3% 7.6% 8.7% 6.6% 3.8% 1.7%
2 2.6% 5.9% 6.8% 5.2% 3.0% 1.4%
3 1.4% 3.1% 3.6% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7%
4 0.5% 1.2% 1.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChernomoretsKAMAZ
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack100%50%
Defense25%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chernomorets KAMAZ
HATHAT
Played56115611
Wins40%0%18%40%50%45%
Draws0%50%27%40%33%36%
Loses60%50%55%20%17%18%

Form: Chernomorets: DLLDLLLDWWL • KAMAZ: DWWLWWDWDLD

League goals

Metric Chernomorets KAMAZ
HATHAT
GF total85137916
GF avg1.60.81.21.41.51.5
GA total88165712
GA avg1.61.31.51.01.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChernomoretsKAMAZ
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%100%82%82%
1.527%36%45%18%
2.518%9%18%9%
3.59%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChernomoretsKAMAZ
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score224112

Penalties

MetricChernomoretsKAMAZ
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricChernomoretsKAMAZ
Wins22
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1—3-11-3
Biggest losses0-23-21-23-0
Goals For4233
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricChernomoretsKAMAZ
Form54%46%
Att67%33%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h71%29%
Goals63%38%
Total56.7%43.5%

Advice: Double chance : Chernomorets or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.54 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.23 @ Pinnacle
Away3.15 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.56 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.19 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chernomorets = 1.57 (league 1.22), KAMAZ = 2.29 (league 1.05)

KAMAZ
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chernomorets 0 2.1% 4.8% 5.5% 4.2% 2.4% 1.1%
1 3.3% 7.6% 8.7% 6.6% 3.8% 1.7%
2 2.6% 5.9% 6.8% 5.2% 3.0% 1.4%
3 1.4% 3.1% 3.6% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7%
4 0.5% 1.2% 1.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.6% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 51.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1