First League — Russia
Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 12:00 • Stadion Urozhaj
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.95 (league 1.23) 0.76 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.0% 20.8% 13.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.0%
2 - 0
12.6%
1 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Volga Ulyanovsk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Kostroma 0 6.6% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.0% 9.8% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.6% 9.6% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.2% 6.3% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpartak KostromaVolga Ulyanovsk
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spartak Kostroma Volga Ulyanovsk
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins40%100%73%33%20%27%
Draws40%0%18%17%20%18%
Loses20%0%9%50%60%55%

Form: Spartak Kostroma: LWDWWWWDWWW • Volga Ulyanovsk: LLDLWLWDLWL

League goals

Metric Spartak Kostroma Volga Ulyanovsk
HATHAT
GF total614207411
GF avg1.22.31.81.20.81.0
GA total5611101020
GA avg1.01.01.01.72.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpartak KostromaVolga Ulyanovsk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%91%73%91%
1.564%9%18%55%
2.518%0%9%18%
3.59%0%0%18%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpartak KostromaVolga Ulyanovsk
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score101033

Penalties

MetricSpartak KostromaVolga Ulyanovsk
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSpartak KostromaVolga Ulyanovsk
Wins41
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-42-12-3
Biggest losses0-1—1-44-0
Goals For2423
Goals Against1244

Model comparison

MetricSpartak KostromaVolga Ulyanovsk
Form65%35%
Att61%39%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total62.2%38.0%

Advice: Double chance : Spartak Kostroma or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.88 @ 1xBet
Draw3.43 @ Pinnacle
Away4.59 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.36 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.62 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ Pinnacle
No1.72 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spartak Kostroma = 1.95 (league 1.23), Volga Ulyanovsk = 0.76 (league 1.05)

Volga Ulyanovsk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Kostroma 0 6.6% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.0% 9.8% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.6% 9.6% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.2% 6.3% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.0% · Draw 20.8% · Away win 13.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1