First League — Russia
Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 16:30 • Stadion Neftekhimik
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 1.23) 1.99 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.6% 19.4% 69.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.4%
0 - 2
15.3%
0 - 3
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Arsenal Tula
0 1 2 3 4 5
FK Neftekhimik 0 7.8% 15.4% 15.3% 10.1% 5.0% 2.0%
1 4.4% 8.8% 8.7% 5.8% 2.9% 1.1%
2 1.3% 2.5% 2.5% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFK NeftekhimikArsenal Tula
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FK Neftekhimik Arsenal Tula
HATHAT
Played65116511
Wins17%40%27%17%40%27%
Draws50%40%45%67%20%45%
Loses33%20%27%17%40%27%

Form: FK Neftekhimik: DDDWLLDLDWW • Arsenal Tula: DDWDDWLWLLD

League goals

Metric FK Neftekhimik Arsenal Tula
HATHAT
GF total481210717
GF avg0.71.61.11.71.41.5
GA total94139514
GA avg1.50.81.21.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFK NeftekhimikArsenal Tula
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%64%91%91%
1.518%18%45%36%
2.59%18%18%0%
3.59%9%0%0%
4.50%9%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFK NeftekhimikArsenal Tula
HATHAT
Clean sheets314011
Failed to score213011

Penalties

MetricFK NeftekhimikArsenal Tula
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricFK NeftekhimikArsenal Tula
Wins11
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-43-10-3
Biggest losses1-51-01-22-1
Goals For1433
Goals Against5122

Model comparison

MetricFK NeftekhimikArsenal Tula
Form67%33%
Att53%47%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution22%78%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total48.7%51.3%

Advice: Double chance : FK Neftekhimik or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.01 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.11 @ 1xBet
Away2.59 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.60 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.54 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ Pinnacle
No1.72 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): FK Neftekhimik = 0.57 (league 1.23), Arsenal Tula = 1.99 (league 1.06)

Arsenal Tula
0 1 2 3 4 5
FK Neftekhimik 0 7.8% 15.4% 15.3% 10.1% 5.0% 2.0%
1 4.4% 8.8% 8.7% 5.8% 2.9% 1.1%
2 1.3% 2.5% 2.5% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.6% · Draw 19.4% · Away win 69.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1