Fri, Oct 10 2025 • 18:15 • Yanmar Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.53 (league 1.82) 1.67 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.8% 13.2% 13.8%
best score tips
3 - 1
6.7%
4 - 1
6.0%
2 - 1
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
Vitesse
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almere City FC 0 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
1 1.9% 3.2% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
2 3.4% 5.7% 4.8% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
3 4.0% 6.7% 5.6% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
4 3.6% 6.0% 5.0% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
5 2.5% 4.2% 3.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlmere City FCVitesse
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack93%79%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Almere City FC Vitesse
HATHAT
Played459437
Wins50%20%33%50%33%43%
Draws0%0%0%0%33%14%
Loses50%80%67%50%33%43%

Form: Almere City FC: WLLLWLWLL • Vitesse: LDWLWWL

League goals

Metric Almere City FC Vitesse
HATHAT
GF total118197512
GF avg2.81.62.11.81.71.7
GA total510155712
GA avg1.32.01.71.32.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlmere City FCVitesse
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%78%86%86%
1.556%56%43%57%
2.533%22%29%14%
3.533%11%14%14%
4.511%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlmere City FCVitesse
HATHAT
Clean sheets202101
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricAlmere City FCVitesse
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricAlmere City FCVitesse
Wins12
Draws01
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-43-12-4
Biggest losses2-42-01-24-0
Goals For5434
Goals Against4324

Model comparison

MetricAlmere City FCVitesse
Form40%60%
Att54%46%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h71%29%
Goals86%14%
Total62.0%38.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Almere City FC and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.55 @ 10Bet
Draw4.95 @ Pinnacle
Away5.60 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.48 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.75 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ Pinnacle
No2.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Almere City FC = 3.53 (league 1.82), Vitesse = 1.67 (league 1.32)

Vitesse
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almere City FC 0 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
1 1.9% 3.2% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
2 3.4% 5.7% 4.8% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
3 4.0% 6.7% 5.6% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
4 3.6% 6.0% 5.0% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
5 2.5% 4.2% 3.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.8% · Draw 13.2% · Away win 13.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1