Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 18:00 • Arena Barueri
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.94 (league 1.65) 0.30 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.7% 1.7% 0.3%
best score tips
4 - 0
13.2%
5 - 0
13.0%
3 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Referencia U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
Palmeiras U20 0 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.7% 3.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.2% 3.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 13.0% 3.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPalmeiras U20Referencia U20
Played55
Form100%53%
Attack100%88%
Defense100%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 04 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Palmeiras U20 Referencia U20
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins89%78%83%44%22%33%
Draws11%0%6%22%56%39%
Loses0%22%11%33%22%28%

Form: Palmeiras U20: WWWWWLDWWWLWWWWWWW • Referencia U20: LLDWDLWWDDLWDWDDWL

League goals

Metric Palmeiras U20 Referencia U20
HATHAT
GF total432467151227
GF avg4.82.73.71.71.31.5
GA total3811141529
GA avg0.30.90.61.61.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePalmeiras U20Referencia U20
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%44%72%78%
1.583%17%44%44%
2.561%0%17%22%
3.550%0%11%17%
4.528%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPalmeiras U20Referencia U20
HATHAT
Clean sheets6410224
Failed to score022325

Penalties

MetricPalmeiras U20Referencia U20
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricPalmeiras U20Referencia U20
Wins52
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins11-01-75-10-3
Biggest losses2-00-44-0
Goals For11753
Goals Against1244

Model comparison

MetricPalmeiras U20Referencia U20
Form65%35%
Att67%33%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution93%7%
H2h100%0%
Goals89%11%
Total78.5%21.5%

Advice: Winner : Palmeiras U20

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.10 @ William Hill
Draw11.01 @ Pinnacle
Away22.00 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.67 @ Marathonbet
No1.44 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.31 @ 1xBet
Under 2.53.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Palmeiras U20 = 4.94 (league 1.65), Referencia U20 = 0.30 (league 1.31)

Referencia U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
Palmeiras U20 0 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.7% 3.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.2% 3.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 13.0% 3.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.7% · Draw 1.7% · Away win 0.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1