Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 18:00 • Estádio Moisés Lucarelli
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.37 (league 1.07) 0.85 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.8% 27.7% 23.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.9%
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Grêmio Prudente
0 1 2 3 4 5
Primavera SP 0 10.9% 9.2% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.9% 12.6% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.2% 8.7% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.7% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPrimavera SPGrêmio Prudente
Played55
Form60%73%
Attack89%78%
Defense78%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.41 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Primavera SP Grêmio Prudente
HATHAT
Played78157613
Wins71%38%53%100%0%54%
Draws14%38%27%0%100%46%
Loses14%25%20%0%0%0%

Form: Primavera SP: DWWDDWWWLDLWWWL • Grêmio Prudente: WDWDDWDWDWDWW

League goals

Metric Primavera SP Grêmio Prudente
HATHAT
GF total1582315419
GF avg2.11.01.52.10.71.5
GA total7411347
GA avg1.00.50.70.40.70.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePrimavera SPGrêmio Prudente
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%47%85%54%
1.547%20%46%0%
2.520%7%15%0%
3.513%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPrimavera SPGrêmio Prudente
HATHAT
Clean sheets448426
Failed to score134022

Penalties

MetricPrimavera SPGrêmio Prudente
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricPrimavera SPGrêmio Prudente
Wins31
Draws22
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-33-0
Biggest losses0-21-0
Goals For4331
Goals Against3111

Model comparison

MetricPrimavera SPGrêmio Prudente
Form45%55%
Att53%47%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h20%80%
Goals40%60%
Total42.3%57.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Grêmio Prudente and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ Betano
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away3.15 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ Unibet
No1.82 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Primavera SP = 1.37 (league 1.07), Grêmio Prudente = 0.85 (league 0.83)

Grêmio Prudente
0 1 2 3 4 5
Primavera SP 0 10.9% 9.2% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.9% 12.6% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.2% 8.7% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.7% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.8% · Draw 27.7% · Away win 23.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1