Independiente F.b.c. vs Guaraní de Fram

Division Intermedia — Paraguay

Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 13:00 • Estadio Ricardo Gregor

Match Finished

Independiente F.b.c.

2 - 0

Guaraní de Fram

Expected Goals

1.21 (league 1.29) 0.88 (league 1.02)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
43.4%	29.5%	26.9%

best score tips

1 - 0

15.0%

1 - 1

13.2%

0 - 0

12.4%

Score & goals probability table

		Guaraní de Fram
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Independiente F.b.c.	0	12.4%	10.9%	4.8%	1.4%	0.3%	0.1%
	1	15.0%	13.2%	5.8%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%
	2	9.0%	7.9%	3.5%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
	3	3.6%	3.2%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	1.1%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Independiente F.b.c.	Guaraní de Fram
Played	5	5
Form	27%	20%
Attack	30%	50%
Defense	30%	0%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	3 \| 0.6	5 \| 1
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	10 \| 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%

FT probability

2.5+

48%

FT probability

3.5+

34%

FT probability

BTTS

71%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Independiente F.b.c.			Guaraní de Fram
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	13	14	27	14	13	27
Wins	31%	21%	26%	21%	8%	15%
Draws	38%	7%	22%	29%	54%	41%
Loses	31%	71%	52%	50%	38%	44%

Form: Independiente F.b.c.: WLWDDDLLLWLDWLLLWWLDLLLDWLL • Guaraní de Fram: DDDDDDLLLDDDLDWLLWLWDLLWLLL

League goals

Metric	Independiente F.b.c.			Guaraní de Fram
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	16	12	28	21	12	33
GF avg	1.2	0.9	1.0	1.5	0.9	1.2
GA total	13	26	39	27	17	44
GA avg	1.0	1.9	1.4	1.9	1.3	1.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Independiente F.b.c.		Guaraní de Fram
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	70%	74%	74%	93%
1.5	26%	44%	30%	48%
2.5	7%	22%	15%	19%
3.5	0%	4%	4%	4%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Independiente F.b.c.			Guaraní de Fram
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	5	2	7	0	2	2
Failed to score	3	5	8	4	3	7

Penalties

Metric	Independiente F.b.c.	Guaraní de Fram
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	2

Streaks

Metric	Independiente F.b.c.	Guaraní de Fram
Wins	2	1
Draws	3	6
Losses	3	3

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-0	0-2	4-1	1-2
Biggest losses	0-2	3-0	0-3	3-1
Goals For	3	2	4	2
Goals Against	3	4	4	3

Model comparison

Metric	Independiente F.b.c.	Guaraní de Fram
Form	57%	43%
Att	38%	63%
Def	59%	41%
Poisson Distribution	56%	44%
H2h	100%	0%
Goals	100%	0%
Total	52.5%	47.8%

Advice: Double chance : Independiente F.b.c. or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.27 @ 1xBet

Draw3.30 @ Marathonbet

Away2.81 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.72 @ Marathonbet

Under 2.52.00 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Marathonbet

No2.21 @ 1xBet

Bookmaker: Select to view full market tables.

Marathonbet Updated: 2025-09-20T12:00:38+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.25
Draw	3.30
Away	2.76

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.53
Draw	2.52
Away	3.08

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.25	3.84
Away -1.25	1.19
Home -1	3.42
Away -1	1.25
Home -0.75	2.65
Away -0.75	1.41
Home -0.25	1.97
Away -0.25	1.75
Home +0	1.68
Away +0	2.06
Home +0.25	1.51
Away +0.25	2.39
Home +0.75	1.27
Away +0.75	3.34
Home -2	7.70
Away -2	1.02
Home +1	1.14
Away +1	4.70
Home -1.75	3.75
Away -1.75	1.21
Home -1.5	4.20
Away -1.5	1.16
Home +1.5	1.09
Away +1.5	5.40
Home -2.5	8.40
Away -2.5	1.01

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.20
Under 1.5	3.70
Over 1.75	1.25
Under 1.75	3.28
Over 2.0	1.31
Under 2.0	2.92
Over 2.25	1.50
Under 2.25	2.28
Over 2.5	1.72
Under 2.5	1.99
Over 2.75	1.86
Under 2.75	1.76
Over 3.5	2.70
Under 3.5	1.36
Over 1.0	1.01
Under 1.0	8.60
Over 1.25	1.16
Under 1.25	4.10
Over 3.0	2.15
Under 3.0	1.56
Over 3.25	2.43
Under 3.25	1.44
Over 3.75	3.20
Under 3.75	1.26
Over 4.0	4.20
Under 4.0	1.15

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.50
Under 1.5	1.44
Over 0.5	1.33
Under 0.5	2.94
Over 1.0	1.71
Under 1.0	2.02

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.93
Under 1.5	1.78
Over 2.0	2.94
Under 2.0	1.33
Over 1.0	1.33
Under 1.0	2.94

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.58
No	2.17

Bet ID 9 — Handicap Result

Selection	Odds
Home -1	4.20
Away -1	1.51
Draw -1	3.96
Home -2	5.95
Draw -2	5.00
Away -2	1.32
Home +1	1.34
Draw +1	4.45
Away +1	5.40

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.34
Home/Away	1.25
Draw/Away	1.51

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.81
Draw	2.14
Away	3.40

Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First

Selection	Odds
Home	1.83
Draw	12.50
Away	2.04

Bet ID 15 — Team To Score Last

Selection	Odds
Home	1.83
Draw	12.50
Away	2.04

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.03
Under 1.5	1.67
Over 1	1.38
Under 1	2.67
Over 2	3.28
Under 2	1.26

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.29
Under 1.5	1.51
Over 1	1.55
Under 1	2.23
Over 2	4.15
Under 2	1.16

Pinnacle Updated: 2025-09-20T12:00:38+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.20
Draw	3.29
Away	2.68

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.25	2.99
Away -1.25	1.31
Home -1	3.23
Away -1	1.26
Home -0.75	2.53
Away -0.75	1.41
Home -0.5	2.18
Away -0.5	1.57
Home -0.25	1.94
Away -0.25	1.75
Home +0	1.66
Away +0	2.03
Home +0.25	1.48
Away +0.25	2.32
Home +0.5	1.38
Away +0.5	2.62
Home -1.5	3.00
Away -1.5	1.31

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.28
Under 1.5	3.00
Over 1.75	1.35
Under 1.75	2.68
Over 2.0	1.27
Under 2.0	3.15
Over 2.25	1.47
Under 2.25	2.36
Over 2.5	1.68
Under 2.5	2.00
Over 2.75	1.88
Under 2.75	1.80
Over 3.5	2.72
Under 3.5	1.36
Over 3.0	2.18
Under 3.0	1.57
Over 3.25	2.45
Under 3.25	1.44

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.43
Under 1.5	1.45
Over 1.75	2.98
Under 1.75	1.29
Over 0.5	1.36
Under 0.5	2.61
Over 0.75	1.40
Under 0.75	2.54
Over 1.0	1.62
Under 1.0	2.07
Over 1.25	2.05
Under 1.25	1.66

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.01
Under 1.5	1.68

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.30
Under 1.5	1.52
Over 0.5	1.45
Under 0.5	2.51

1xBet Updated: 2025-09-20T12:00:38+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.27
Draw	3.30
Away	2.81

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.55
Draw	2.52
Away	3.16

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.25	3.84
Away -1.25	1.19
Home -1	3.42
Away -1	1.25
Home -0.75	2.65
Away -0.75	1.41
Home -0.25	1.97
Away -0.25	1.75
Home +0	1.68
Away +0	2.06
Home +0.25	1.51
Away +0.25	2.39
Home +0.75	1.27
Away +0.75	3.34
Home -2	7.70
Away -2	1.02
Home +1	1.14
Away +1	4.70
Home -1.75	4.85
Away -1.75	1.13
Home -1.5	4.20
Away -1.5	1.16
Home +1.25	1.13
Away +1.25	5.10
Home +1.5	1.09
Away +1.5	5.40
Home -2.5	8.40
Away -2.5	1.01
Home -2.25	5.70
Away -2.25	1.10

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.20
Under 1.5	3.70
Over 1.75	1.25
Under 1.75	3.28
Over 2.0	1.31
Under 2.0	2.92
Over 2.25	1.50
Under 2.25	2.28
Over 2.5	1.72
Under 2.5	1.99
Over 2.75	1.86
Under 2.75	1.76
Over 3.5	2.70
Under 3.5	1.36
Over 0.5	1.01
Under 0.5	10.20
Over 1.0	1.01
Under 1.0	8.60
Over 1.25	1.20
Under 1.25	4.00
Over 3.0	2.15
Under 3.0	1.56
Over 4.5	4.70
Under 4.5	1.15
Over 3.25	2.43
Under 3.25	1.44
Over 3.75	3.20
Under 3.75	1.26
Over 4.0	4.20
Under 4.0	1.15
Over 4.25	4.40
Under 4.25	1.17
Over 5.0	7.00
Under 5.0	1.05
Over 5.5	7.50
Under 5.5	1.04

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.50
Under 1.5	1.44
Over 2.0	4.50
Under 2.0	1.17
Over 2.5	5.60
Under 2.5	1.11
Over 0.5	1.33
Under 0.5	2.94
Over 0.75	1.46
Under 0.75	2.49
Over 1.0	1.71
Under 1.0	2.02
Over 1.25	2.10
Under 1.25	1.64
Over 3.0	10.00
Under 3.0	1.02

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.93
Under 1.5	1.78
Over 1.75	2.27
Under 1.75	1.55
Over 2.0	2.94
Under 2.0	1.33
Over 2.5	3.70
Under 2.5	1.23
Over 0.5	1.17
Under 0.5	4.40
Over 1.0	1.33
Under 1.0	2.94
Over 1.25	1.64
Under 1.25	2.10
Over 3.0	7.30
Under 3.0	1.06

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	14.00
Home/Away	25.00
Draw/Away	7.50
Draw/Draw	6.00
Home/Home	3.80
Draw/Home	5.60
Away/Home	25.00
Away/Draw	14.00
Away/Away	4.40

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.58
No	2.21

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	8.00
2:0	11.00
2:1	8.00
3:0	19.00
3:1	15.00
3:2	19.00
4:0	50.00
4:1	36.00
0:0	10.50
1:1	6.00
2:2	11.00
0:1	9.00
0:2	13.00
0:3	23.00
1:2	9.00
1:3	17.00
2:3	21.00
3:3	46.00
0:4	65.00
1:4	55.00
2:4	65.00
4:2	55.00
0:5	100.00
0:6	100.00
1:5	100.00
1:6	100.00
2:5	100.00
2:6	100.00
3:4	80.00
5:0	100.00
5:1	80.00
5:2	100.00
6:0	100.00
6:1	100.00
6:2	100.00
4:3	80.00
3:5	100.00
3:6	100.00
4:5	100.00
4:6	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
5:6	100.00
6:3	100.00
6:4	100.00
6:5	100.00
4:4	100.00
7:0	100.00
7:1	100.00
7:2	100.00
7:3	100.00
7:4	100.00
7:5	100.00
7:6	100.00
8:0	100.00
8:1	100.00
8:2	100.00
8:3	100.00
8:4	100.00
8:5	100.00
8:6	100.00
8:7	100.00
9:0	100.00
9:1	100.00
9:2	100.00
9:3	100.00
9:4	100.00
9:5	100.00
9:6	100.00
9:7	100.00
9:8	100.00
10:0	100.00
10:1	100.00
10:2	100.00
10:3	100.00
10:4	100.00
10:5	100.00
10:6	100.00
10:7	100.00
10:8	100.00
10:9	100.00
5:5	100.00
6:6	100.00
7:7	100.00
8:8	100.00
9:9	100.00
10:10	100.00
0:7	100.00
0:8	100.00
0:9	100.00
0:10	100.00
1:7	100.00
1:8	100.00
1:9	100.00
1:10	100.00
2:7	100.00
2:8	100.00
2:9	100.00
2:10	100.00
3:7	100.00
3:8	100.00
3:9	100.00
3:10	100.00
4:7	100.00
4:8	100.00
4:9	100.00
4:10	100.00
5:7	100.00
5:8	100.00
5:9	100.00
5:10	100.00
6:7	100.00
6:8	100.00
6:9	100.00
6:10	100.00
7:8	100.00
7:9	100.00
7:10	100.00
8:9	100.00
8:10	100.00
9:10	100.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	3.60
1st Half	3.00
2nd Half	1.99

Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	4.80
2:0	12.00
2:1	20.00
3:0	40.00
3:1	60.00
3:2	60.00
4:0	100.00
4:1	100.00
0:0	2.94
1:1	7.00
2:2	50.00
0:1	5.00
0:2	15.00
0:3	60.00
1:2	21.00
1:3	60.00
2:3	60.00
3:3	100.00
0:4	100.00
1:4	100.00
2:4	100.00
4:2	100.00
0:5	100.00
1:5	100.00
2:5	100.00
3:4	100.00
5:0	100.00
5:1	100.00
5:2	100.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	100.00
4:5	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
4:4	100.00
5:5	100.00

Bet ID 62 — Correct Score - Second Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	4.80
2:0	10.00
2:1	13.00
3:0	30.00
3:1	35.00
3:2	60.00
4:0	100.00
4:1	100.00
0:0	4.40
1:1	6.50
2:2	30.00
0:1	6.00
0:2	14.00
0:3	40.00
1:2	16.00
1:3	50.00
2:3	60.00
3:3	100.00
0:4	100.00
1:4	100.00
2:4	100.00
4:2	100.00
0:5	100.00
1:5	100.00
2:5	100.00
3:4	100.00
5:0	100.00
5:1	100.00
5:2	100.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	100.00
4:5	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
4:4	100.00
5:5	100.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.34
Home/Away	1.25
Draw/Away	1.51

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.83
Draw	2.14
Away	3.52

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.05
Under 1.5	1.68
Over 2.5	4.15
Under 2.5	1.19
Over 3.5	9.50
Under 3.5	1.02
Over 1	1.38
Under 1	2.80
Over 2	3.25
Under 2	1.30
Over 3	11.50
Under 3	1.01
Over 0.5	1.20
Under 0.5	4.10

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.20
Under 1.5	1.58
Over 2.5	5.00
Under 2.5	1.13
Over 1	1.50
Under 1	2.40
Over 2	3.95
Under 2	1.20
Over 0.5	1.27
Under 0.5	3.40

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Independiente F.b.c. vs Guaraní de Fram

Expected goals (λ): Independiente F.b.c. = 1.21 (league 1.29), Guaraní de Fram = 0.88 (league 1.02)

		Guaraní de Fram
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Independiente F.b.c.	0	12.4%	10.9%	4.8%	1.4%	0.3%	0.1%
	1	15.0%	13.2%	5.8%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%
	2	9.0%	7.9%	3.5%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
	3	3.6%	3.2%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	1.1%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.4% · Draw 29.5% · Away win 26.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Independiente F.b.c.	Guaraní de Fram
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	2