Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 13:00 • Estadio Tomás Beggan Correa
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.29) 1.03 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.7% 23.4% 21.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
1 - 0
10.8%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Pastoreo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Resistencia 0 6.1% 6.3% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.8% 11.1% 5.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.8% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.6% 5.8% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.5% 2.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricResistenciaPastoreo
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack70%70%
Defense40%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Resistencia Pastoreo
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins46%21%33%57%8%33%
Draws46%43%44%14%54%33%
Loses8%36%22%29%38%33%

Form: Resistencia: DLDDWDWLWWLDLLDWDDDDWWDWLWD • Pastoreo: LLWDWDDDLLWDWDWLLDWLDLWDLWW

League goals

Metric Resistencia Pastoreo
HATHAT
GF total25184320929
GF avg1.91.31.61.40.71.1
GA total192140151530
GA avg1.51.51.51.11.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineResistenciaPastoreo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%93%67%74%
1.544%37%30%22%
2.522%15%11%11%
3.50%4%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricResistenciaPastoreo
HATHAT
Clean sheets202437
Failed to score022279

Penalties

MetricResistenciaPastoreo
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricResistenciaPastoreo
Wins21
Draws43
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-23-10-2
Biggest losses3-43-11-43-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against4343

Model comparison

MetricResistenciaPastoreo
Form44%56%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h67%33%
Goals50%50%
Total51.0%49.0%

Advice: Double chance : Resistencia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ Superbet
Draw3.15 @ Superbet
Away2.90 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.65 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Marathonbet
No1.91 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Resistencia = 1.76 (league 1.29), Pastoreo = 1.03 (league 1.02)

Pastoreo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Resistencia 0 6.1% 6.3% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.8% 11.1% 5.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.8% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.6% 5.8% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.5% 2.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.7% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 21.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1