Mon, Sep 22 2025 • 21:30 • Estadio Villa Alegre
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.29) 0.75 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.6% 35.4% 29.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.4%
1 - 0
17.0%
0 - 1
15.4%
Score & goals probability table
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Encarnación 0 20.4% 15.4% 5.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.0% 12.9% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.1% 5.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEncarnaciónClub Sp. San Lorenzo
Played55
Form27%73%
Attack38%31%
Defense19%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Encarnación Club Sp. San Lorenzo
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins46%14%30%64%31%48%
Draws38%29%33%7%46%26%
Loses15%57%37%29%23%26%

Form: Encarnación: LDLDLWDWLDLLWDDWLWDWDWLDWLL • Club Sp. San Lorenzo: WDLDWLWWLLLDLWWWDLWDWWWDWDW

League goals

Metric Encarnación Club Sp. San Lorenzo
HATHAT
GF total161531201434
GF avg1.21.11.11.41.11.3
GA total92938101222
GA avg0.72.11.40.70.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEncarnaciónClub Sp. San Lorenzo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%74%81%59%
1.522%37%30%22%
2.515%22%11%0%
3.54%7%4%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEncarnaciónClub Sp. San Lorenzo
HATHAT
Clean sheets7077411
Failed to score347325

Penalties

MetricEncarnaciónClub Sp. San Lorenzo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricEncarnaciónClub Sp. San Lorenzo
Wins13
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-03-44-00-2
Biggest losses0-34-00-22-0
Goals For3442
Goals Against3422

Model comparison

MetricEncarnaciónClub Sp. San Lorenzo
Form27%73%
Att55%45%
Def13%87%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h71%29%
Goals57%43%
Total46.2%53.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Club Sp. San Lorenzo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.60 @ Betfair
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away2.12 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Betfair
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Encarnación = 0.83 (league 1.29), Club Sp. San Lorenzo = 0.75 (league 1.02)

Club Sp. San Lorenzo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Encarnación 0 20.4% 15.4% 5.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.0% 12.9% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.1% 5.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.6% · Draw 35.4% · Away win 29.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1