Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 16:15 • Greifavöllurinn
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.11 (league 1.90) 1.52 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.2% 21.0% 27.2%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 1
8.5%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
KR Reykjavik
0 1 2 3 4 5
KA Akureyri 0 2.7% 4.0% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
1 5.6% 8.5% 6.5% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
2 5.9% 9.0% 6.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.2% 6.3% 4.8% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.2% 3.3% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKA AkureyriKR Reykjavik
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack60%25%
Defense65%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric KA Akureyri KR Reykjavik
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins55%18%36%45%9%27%
Draws18%27%23%18%36%27%
Loses27%55%41%36%55%45%

Form: KA Akureyri: DLLWLLDWWDLLLWLWDWDWLW • KR Reykjavik: DDDWDWLLLWLLWLLDLWWLDL

League goals

Metric KA Akureyri KR Reykjavik
HATHAT
GF total181129241842
GF avg1.61.01.32.21.61.9
GA total142539232851
GA avg1.32.31.82.12.52.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKA AkureyriKR Reykjavik
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%77%91%91%
1.545%45%59%64%
2.514%32%27%36%
3.55%14%9%18%
4.50%9%5%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKA AkureyriKR Reykjavik
HATHAT
Clean sheets415112
Failed to score257112

Penalties

MetricKA AkureyriKR Reykjavik
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricKA AkureyriKR Reykjavik
Wins22
Draws13
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-25-00-1
Biggest losses2-55-00-76-1
Goals For4353
Goals Against5576

Model comparison

MetricKA AkureyriKR Reykjavik
Form59%41%
Att71%29%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h50%50%
Goals41%59%
Total56.8%43.2%

Advice: Double chance : KA Akureyri or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ William Hill
Draw4.27 @ Pinnacle
Away3.28 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.32 @ 1xBet
Under 2.53.40 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.35 @ Pinnacle
No3.30 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): KA Akureyri = 2.11 (league 1.90), KR Reykjavik = 1.52 (league 1.37)

KR Reykjavik
0 1 2 3 4 5
KA Akureyri 0 2.7% 4.0% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
1 5.6% 8.5% 6.5% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
2 5.9% 9.0% 6.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.2% 6.3% 4.8% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.2% 3.3% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.2% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 27.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1